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Detroit City vs Lexington - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

USA

USA

USL League One Cup

Detroit City

L
D
W
W
L
W

06 Jun 2026

23:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
0)

1

-

1

1-3

Pen.

Lexington

W
L
W
L
W
D

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.87
-

Draw

3.29
-

Away

3.75
-

1st Half

Home

2.45
-

Draw

2.09
-

Away

4.42
-

2nd Half

Home

2.27
-

Draw

2.37
-

Away

3.88
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

USA

USL Championship

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

67%

67%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

61%

61%

83%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

53%

43%

75%

53%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

60%

52%

68%

48%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

58%

54%

81%

53%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

USA

USL Championship

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

0
1
1

Scored

Conceded

2.17
1.5

Difference

+0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.17
2
0.83

Scored

Conceded

3.33
1.33

Difference

+2

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

0
0.88
0.88

Scored

Conceded

1.38
2

Difference

-0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.35
1.2
0.85

Scored

Conceded

1.8
1.55

Difference

+0.25

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.35
1.29
0.94

Scored

Conceded

1.89
1.44

Difference

+0.44

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

USA

USL Championship

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

0
1
1

Scored

Conceded

2.17
1.5

Difference

+0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.17
2
0.83

Scored

Conceded

3.33
1.33

Difference

+2

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

0
0.88
0.88

Scored

Conceded

1.38
2

Difference

-0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.35
1.2
0.85

Scored

Conceded

1.8
1.55

Difference

+0.25

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.35
1.29
0.94

Scored

Conceded

1.89
1.44

Difference

+0.44

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

USA

USL Championship

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

67%

67%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

61%

61%

83%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

53%

43%

75%

53%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

60%

52%

68%

48%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

58%

54%

81%

53%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Detroit City

Lexington

All Matches

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Detroit City

Lexington

USA | USL Championship

20 Sep 25

Detroit City

0
1

Lexington

9mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05

Home

2:1

21/05

22/05

Away

0:0

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

2:0

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:1

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06

Home

?

10/06

11/06
12/06

Away

?

13/06

14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Detroit City

Lexington

All Matches

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Detroit City

Lexington

USA | USL Championship

20 Sep 25

Detroit City

0
1

Lexington

9mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05

Home

2:1

21/05

22/05

Away

0:0

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

2:0

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:1

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06

Home

?

10/06

11/06
12/06

Away

?

13/06

14/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Detroit City

Lexington

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
USA

USA | USL League One Cup

PN

06/06

23:00

Detroit City
Lexington
1
1

H

1.87

D

3.29

A

3.75

D
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

30/05

22:00

Charleston Battery
Detroit City
2
0

H

1.92

D

3.27

A

3.71

L
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

23/05

22:00

Loudoun United
Detroit City
0
0

H

2.94

D

3.33

A

2.21

D
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

21/05

00:00

Detroit City
Miami FC
2
1

H

1.50

D

4.00

A

5.53

W
USA

USA | USL League One Cup

FT

16/05

22:00

Forward Madison
Detroit City
0
1

H

4.71

D

3.56

A

1.64

W
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

09/05

23:00

Hartford Athletic
Detroit City
2
1

H

2.40

D

3.18

A

2.69

L
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

02/05

22:00

Detroit City
Louisville City
2
1

H

3.29

D

3.15

A

2.12

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Detroit City

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
USA

USA | USL League One Cup

PN

06/06

23:00

Detroit City
Lexington
1
1

H

1.87

D

3.29

A

3.75

D
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

30/05

22:00

Charleston Battery
Detroit City
2
0

H

1.92

D

3.27

A

3.71

L
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

23/05

22:00

Loudoun United
Detroit City
0
0

H

2.94

D

3.33

A

2.21

D
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

21/05

00:00

Detroit City
Miami FC
2
1

H

1.50

D

4.00

A

5.53

W
USA

USA | USL League One Cup

FT

16/05

22:00

Forward Madison
Detroit City
0
1

H

4.71

D

3.56

A

1.64

W
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

09/05

23:00

Hartford Athletic
Detroit City
2
1

H

2.40

D

3.18

A

2.69

L
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

02/05

22:00

Detroit City
Louisville City
2
1

H

3.29

D

3.15

A

2.12

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lexington

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
USA

USA | USL League One Cup

PN

06/06

23:00

Detroit City
Lexington
1
1

H

1.87

D

3.29

A

3.75

D
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

31/05

01:00

El Paso Locomotive
Lexington
1
4

H

2.13

D

3.32

A

3.07

W
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

23/05

23:00

Indy Eleven
Lexington
3
1

H

2.23

D

3.33

A

2.88

L
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

08/05

23:30

Lexington
Monterey Bay
3
1

H

1.47

D

4.05

A

5.97

W
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

03/05

02:30

Las Vegas Lights
Lexington
2
1

H

2.68

D

3.16

A

2.44

L
USA

USA | USL League One Cup

FT

25/04

23:00

Lexington
Forward Madison
4
2
W
USA

USA | USL Championship

FT

19/04

02:00

Orange County SC
Lexington
0
0

H

2.41

D

3.11

A

2.82

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Note: Missing historical data for 2 matches

Detroit City

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Note: Missing historical data for 2 matches

Lexington

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.44 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

53%
Overall Form
43%
4
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
4
Losses
5

Rankings

Current Season

3
USL Cup 2026, Group 4
2
1
Played
1
3
Points per Match
3

Quality

57%
Team Quality
48%
56%
Avg Opponent Quality
56%

Goals Performance

45%
Goals Performance
42%
0.9
Scored Goals
1.5
1
Conceded Goals
1.7
-0.1
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.2
1.9
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.2

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

No Statistics Available

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.87

Draw

3.29

Away

3.75

1.75

Home

1.88

3.29

Draw

3.42

3.71

Away

4.29

Max

Home

1.88

Draw

3.42

Away

4.29

%

7%
4%
16%

Min

Home

1.75

Draw

3.29

Away

3.71

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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