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Home Favored
Jun 5, 2026, 06:03 PM
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A mismatch on paper, Paraguay look to extend their strong home record against an Nicaragua side struggling for wins away from home. This friendly offers both nations a chance to fine-tune tactics before competitive fixtures.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.24
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.92
Paraguay's defensive strength at home is outstanding, conceding less than a quarter of a goal per game recently, while Nicaragua's away defense is porous, letting in nearly two goals per game.
45%
Shot accuracy %
All comps (EWMA)
22%
Paraguay are twice as accurate with their shots on target compared to Nicaragua, indicating a much higher efficiency in converting chances when they get them.
2.0
PPG (3/1/0)
All comps at venue
0.6
In their last 10 home/away venue matches, Paraguay averaged 2.0 points per game, vastly outperforming Nicaragua's 0.6 points per game.
0.72
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.64
Both teams are struggling for goals on a recent-form basis, but Paraguay's slightly higher output suggests they might have the edge in breaking down defenses.
36%
Possession %
All comps (EWMA)
48%
Surprisingly, Nicaragua records higher possession numbers recently, which could indicate they might control the ball more, although Paraguay's effectiveness without it is notable.
60%
Win rate %
All comps at venue
10%
This metric starkly illustrates Paraguay's dominance at home (60% win rate in last 10 venue matches) compared to Nicaragua's poor away record (10% win rate).
Form & Streaks
Paraguay have won 6 of their last 10 matches at home in all competitions.
Nicaragua have lost 6 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
Paraguay are undefeated in their last 2 home matches played.
Nicaragua have conceded 14 goals in their last 6 away matches.
Tactical Overview
Paraguay enter this friendly as strong favorites, bolstered by their impressive home form in recent competitive matches, including a win against Uruguay. Their defensive solidity is evident, conceding just 0.24 goals per game on a recent-form basis, a stark contrast to Nicaragua's 1.92 goals conceded per game away from home. In their last 10 home games, Paraguay have secured 6 wins and kept 6 clean sheets, posting a PPG of 2.0. Nicaragua, meanwhile, has managed only 1 win and 3 draws in their last 10 away fixtures, scoring just 5 goals. Despite Nicaragua showing better possession and pass accuracy in recent form, Paraguay's efficiency in converting chances and controlling games on their own turf, coupled with a higher shot accuracy of 45% compared to Nicaragua's 22%, points to a clear advantage.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Paraguay will rely on the defensive strength of Gustavo Gómez and Junior Alonso, who are regular starters in their backline. In midfield, Diego Gómez is a key figure, expected to play a central role. Upfront, Miguel Almirón is a vital attacking presence, contributing significantly to their offensive play.
Absences
Fabián Balbuena
Hamstring injury
Damián Bobadilla
Knee problems, rested as a precaution
Home
Key Players
Paraguay will rely on the defensive strength of Gustavo Gómez and Junior Alonso, who are regular starters in their backline. In midfield, Diego Gómez is a key figure, expected to play a central role. Upfront, Miguel Almirón is a vital attacking presence, contributing significantly to their offensive play.
Absences
Fabián Balbuena
Hamstring injury
Damián Bobadilla
Knee problems, rested as a precaution
Away
Key Players
Nicaragua's defense will likely be marshaled by experienced figures such as Justing Cano and Evert Martínez. In the midfield, Jason Coronel and Jonathan Moncada are expected to control the tempo and distribute the ball. Upfront, Jorge García will lead the line, looking to create scoring opportunities.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel