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May 24, 2026, 10:06 PM
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A Copa Sul-Sudeste semi-final clash sees Avai host Volta Redonda just four days after their last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw. With a spot in the final on the line and momentum crucial, both sides will be looking to gain a decisive edge.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.49
xG difference
All comps (EWMA)
-0.02
Avai's positive xG difference of 0.49 suggests they consistently create more than they concede on a recent-form basis, a strong indicator of overall team quality compared to Volta Redonda's negative -0.02.
1.73
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.53
While both teams are scoring, Avai's higher average of 1.73 goals per game in recent form gives them a slight offensive edge over Volta Redonda's 1.53.
1.35
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.52
Avai's more solid defense, conceding 1.35 goals per game in recent form compared to Volta Redonda's 1.52, is a key differentiator.
1.9
PPG
All comps at venue
1.1
Avai averages 1.9 points per game in their last 10 home fixtures across all comps, significantly outperforming Volta Redonda's 1.1 points per game across their last 10 away games in the same scope.
50%
Win rate %
All comps at venue
30%
Avai's home win rate of 50% in their last 10 matches at venue stands higher than Volta Redonda's away win rate of 30% over the same period.
60%
Clean sheet %
All comps at venue
0%
Avai's impressive 60% clean sheet rate at home over their last 10 games is a massive advantage against Volta Redonda, who have failed to keep a single clean sheet (0%) in their last 10 away fixtures.
Form & Streaks
Avai are undefeated in their last 10 home matches across all competitions (5W, 4D, 1L).
Volta Redonda have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches across all competitions.
Volta Redonda have not kept a clean sheet in their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
Avai have won 2 of their last 5 home matches in all competitions.
Tactical Overview
Avai will be looking to leverage their home advantage and recent Elo rating edge against Volta Redonda. In their last 10 home matches across all competitions, Avai have shown strong form with 5 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 loss, scoring 18 goals. This is in stark contrast to Volta Redonda's away record, where they have managed only 3 wins in their last 10 away fixtures and lost 5, conceding 15 goals. The recent 2-2 draw between these two sides four days ago in the away leg means Avai has secured 1 win in their last 3 meetings, offering a slight edge in head-to-head encounters. Avai's xG difference of 0.49 in recent form, well above Volta Redonda's -0.02, highlights their superior creative and defensive efficiency.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Avai will likely rely on the defensive solidity of Bruno Baldini and Wallison. In midfield, Zé Ricardo will be crucial for controlling the tempo and distributing the ball. Upfront, the team will look to Thayllon to provide offensive threat.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
Avai will likely rely on the defensive solidity of Bruno Baldini and Wallison. In midfield, Zé Ricardo will be crucial for controlling the tempo and distributing the ball. Upfront, the team will look to Thayllon to provide offensive threat.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Volta Redonda's defense will be marshaled by Wellington Silva. Midfielder Luciano Naninho is expected to be a key player in their offensive movements. The team will also be looking to Rafael Furtado to make an impact in attack.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel