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Saint Etienne vs Nice - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

France

France

Ligue 1

Saint Etienne

D
W
L
L
L
W

26 May 2026

18:45 (UTC+0)

(0
-
0)

0

-

0

FT

Nice

L
D
L
D
D
W

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.47
-

Draw

3.25
-

Away

2.88
-

1st Half

Home

3.10
-

Draw

2.08
-

Away

3.45
-

2nd Half

Home

2.78
-

Draw

2.35
-

Away

3.18
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Ligue 2

France

vs

France

Ligue 1

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

17%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

42%

44%

75%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

58%

38%

75%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

60%

40%

68%

33%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

59%

39%

64%

31%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Ligue 2

France

vs

France

Ligue 1

Good
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Poor

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

0
1.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1
1.17

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.5
2.17
0.67

Scored

Conceded

0.83
2.17

Difference

-1.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.12
1.25
1.12

Scored

Conceded

0.75
1.88

Difference

-1.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.5
1.35
0.85

Scored

Conceded

0.9
1.5

Difference

-0.6

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.66
1.85
1.2

Scored

Conceded

1.12
1.67

Difference

-0.56

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Ligue 2

France

vs

France

Ligue 1

Good
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Poor

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

0
1.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1
1.17

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.5
2.17
0.67

Scored

Conceded

0.83
2.17

Difference

-1.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.12
1.25
1.12

Scored

Conceded

0.75
1.88

Difference

-1.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.5
1.35
0.85

Scored

Conceded

0.9
1.5

Difference

-0.6

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.66
1.85
1.2

Scored

Conceded

1.12
1.67

Difference

-0.56

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Ligue 2

France

vs

France

Ligue 1

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

17%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

42%

44%

75%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

58%

38%

75%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

60%

40%

68%

33%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

59%

39%

64%

31%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
2

Scored

Conceded

2
1

Saint Etienne

Nice

All Matches

26 Matches

(31%)

8

Wins

Draws: 4

14

(54%)

8

(31%)

4

(15%)

14

(54%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.27
1.65

Scored

Conceded

1.65
1.27

Saint Etienne

Nice

France | Coupe de France

21 Dec 25

Nice

2
1

Saint Etienne

6mo ago

France | Ligue 1

01 Mar 25

Saint Etienne

1
3

Nice

1y ago

France | Ligue 1

20 Sep 24

Nice

8
0

Saint Etienne

2y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05

Home

0:0

15/05

16/05
17/05
18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05

Home

0:0

26/05

27/05
28/05

Away

4:1

29/05

30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
2

Scored

Conceded

2
1

Saint Etienne

Nice

All Matches

26 Matches

(31%)

8

Wins

Draws: 4

14

(54%)

8

(31%)

4

(15%)

14

(54%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.27
1.65

Scored

Conceded

1.65
1.27

Saint Etienne

Nice

France | Coupe de France

21 Dec 25

Nice

2
1

Saint Etienne

6mo ago

France | Ligue 1

01 Mar 25

Saint Etienne

1
3

Nice

1y ago

France | Ligue 1

20 Sep 24

Nice

8
0

Saint Etienne

2y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05

Home

0:0

15/05

16/05
17/05
18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05

Home

0:0

26/05

27/05
28/05

Away

4:1

29/05

30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Saint Etienne

Nice

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

26/05

18:45

Saint Etienne
Nice
0
0

H

2.47

D

3.25

A

2.88

D
France

France | Ligue 1

PN

15/05

18:30

Saint Etienne
Rodez
0
0

H

1.75

D

3.95

A

4.36

D
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

09/05

18:00

Saint Etienne
Amiens
5
0

H

1.13

D

8.11

A

15.57

W
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

02/05

18:00

Rodez
Saint Etienne
2
1

H

3.01

D

3.62

A

2.15

L
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

25/04

18:00

Saint Etienne
Estac Troyes
0
3

H

1.92

D

3.62

A

3.62

L
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

18/04

18:00

Bastia
Saint Etienne
2
0

H

3.80

D

3.29

A

1.97

L
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

11/04

18:00

Saint Etienne
Dunkerque
2
1

H

1.53

D

4.24

A

5.37

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Saint Etienne

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

26/05

18:45

Saint Etienne
Nice
0
0

H

2.47

D

3.25

A

2.88

D
France

France | Ligue 1

PN

15/05

18:30

Saint Etienne
Rodez
0
0

H

1.75

D

3.95

A

4.36

D
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

09/05

18:00

Saint Etienne
Amiens
5
0

H

1.13

D

8.11

A

15.57

W
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

02/05

18:00

Rodez
Saint Etienne
2
1

H

3.01

D

3.62

A

2.15

L
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

25/04

18:00

Saint Etienne
Estac Troyes
0
3

H

1.92

D

3.62

A

3.62

L
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

18/04

18:00

Bastia
Saint Etienne
2
0

H

3.80

D

3.29

A

1.97

L
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

11/04

18:00

Saint Etienne
Dunkerque
2
1

H

1.53

D

4.24

A

5.37

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Nice

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

26/05

18:45

Saint Etienne
Nice
0
0

H

2.47

D

3.25

A

2.88

D
France

France | Coupe de France

FT

22/05

19:00

Lens
Nice
3
1

H

1.48

D

4.42

A

6.32

L
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

17/05

19:00

Nice
Metz
0
0

H

1.31

D

5.52

A

9.02

D
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

10/05

19:00

Auxerre
Nice
2
1

H

2.39

D

3.35

A

2.95

L
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

02/05

19:05

Nice
Lens
1
1

H

4.51

D

4.11

A

1.70

D
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

26/04

18:45

Marseille
Nice
1
1

H

1.65

D

4.08

A

4.87

D
France

France | Coupe de France

FT

22/04

19:00

Strasbourg
Nice
0
2

H

1.74

D

3.86

A

4.38

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.78 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

L. Stassin

6.3
L

Midfielders

14

A. Kante

7
L

35

L. Gadegbeku

6.3
H

7

I. Cardona

6.6
L

20

A. Boakye

6.7
L

22

Z. Davitashvili

6.3
M

Defenders

39

K. Pedro

7.3
L

26

J. Le Cardinal

7.7
L

6

M. Bernauer

7.6
M

8

D. Appiah

6.3
H

Goalkeepers

30

G. Larsonneur

6.3
M
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

B. Old

Thigh Injury

L

Others

N. El Jamali

Knee Injury

-

P. Eymard

Foot Injury

H

M. Jaber

Surgery

H

C. Lamba

Injury

H

D. N'Guessan

Inactive

H

M. Paalberg

Inactive

-

L. Traore

Inactive

-

Saint Etienne

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.78 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

L. Stassin

6.3
L

Midfielders

14

A. Kante

7
L

35

L. Gadegbeku

6.3
H

7

I. Cardona

6.6
L

20

A. Boakye

6.7
L

22

Z. Davitashvili

6.3
M

Defenders

39

K. Pedro

7.3
L

26

J. Le Cardinal

7.7
L

6

M. Bernauer

7.6
M

8

D. Appiah

6.3
H

Goalkeepers

30

G. Larsonneur

6.3
M
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

B. Old

Thigh Injury

L

Others

N. El Jamali

Knee Injury

-

P. Eymard

Foot Injury

H

M. Jaber

Surgery

H

C. Lamba

Injury

H

D. N'Guessan

Inactive

H

M. Paalberg

Inactive

-

L. Traore

Inactive

-

Nice

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.44 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

25

M. Cho

6.5
M

Midfielders

8

M. Sanson

7.2
M

6

H. Boudaoui

6.3
L

92

J. Clauss

6.5
L

10

S. Diop

6.7
M

47

T. Gouveia

6.7
H

Defenders

33

A. Mendy

7.3
L

28

J. Bah

7.3
M

37

K. Peprah

7.2
M

26

M. Bard

7.2
L

Goalkeepers

80

Y. Diouf

6.9
M
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

E. Wahi

Yellow Cards

L

Others

M. Abdelmonem

Knee Injury

H

M. Bombito

Leg Injury

-

M. Dupe

Inactive

H

T. Ndombele

Inactive

H

E. Pereira

Ankle Injury

-

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

55%
Overall Form
38%
4
Wins
1
3
Draws
5
3
Losses
4

Rankings

Current Season

Quality

56%
Team Quality
42%
55%
Avg Opponent Quality
56%

Goals Performance

53%
Goals Performance
37%
1.5
Scored Goals
0.8
0.9
Conceded Goals
1.5
0.6
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.7
2.4
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.3

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

-
Expected Goals
Missing Data (10 | 2)
1.05
13.5
Total Shots
10.1
4.7
Shots on Goal
3.3
8.4
Shots Inside Box
6.9
5.1
Shots Outside Box
3.2
58%
Possession
42%
85%
Passes %
80%

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.47

Draw

3.25

Away

2.88

2.22

Home

2.47

3.20

Draw

3.53

2.88

Away

3.08

Max

Home

2.47

Draw

3.53

Away

3.08

%

11%
10%
7%

Min

Home

2.22

Draw

3.20

Away

2.88

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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