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Nice vs Saint Etienne - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

France

France

Ligue 1

Nice

D
L
D
L
D
D

29 May 2026

18:45 (UTC+0)

(0
-
0)

4

-

1

FT

Saint Etienne

D
D
W
L
L
L

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.97
-

Draw

3.17
-

Away

4.33
-

1st Half

Home

2.62
-

Draw

1.95
-

Away

5.00
-

2nd Half

Home

2.36
-

Draw

2.23
-

Away

4.46
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Ligue 1

France

vs

France

Ligue 2

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

38%

67%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

33%

33%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

44%

53%

50%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

43%

60%

45%

53%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

39%

59%

48%

53%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Ligue 1

France

vs

France

Ligue 2

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
0.67
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1
1.17

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-1.33
0.83
2.17

Scored

Conceded

1.83
0.67

Difference

+1.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.62
0.75
1.38

Scored

Conceded

1
1.12

Difference

-0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.55
0.9
1.45

Scored

Conceded

1.25
0.75

Difference

+0.5

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.55
1.09
1.64

Scored

Conceded

1.81
1.17

Difference

+0.64

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Ligue 1

France

vs

France

Ligue 2

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
0.67
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1
1.17

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-1.33
0.83
2.17

Scored

Conceded

1.83
0.67

Difference

+1.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.62
0.75
1.38

Scored

Conceded

1
1.12

Difference

-0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.55
0.9
1.45

Scored

Conceded

1.25
0.75

Difference

+0.5

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.55
1.09
1.64

Scored

Conceded

1.81
1.17

Difference

+0.64

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Ligue 1

France

vs

France

Ligue 2

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

38%

67%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

33%

33%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

44%

53%

50%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

43%

60%

45%

53%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

39%

59%

48%

53%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(50%)

1

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0.5

Scored

Conceded

0.5
1

Nice

Saint Etienne

All Matches

27 Matches

(52%)

14

Wins

Draws: 5

8

(30%)

14

(52%)

5

(19%)

8

(30%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.59
1.22

Scored

Conceded

1.22
1.59

Nice

Saint Etienne

France | Ligue 1

26 May 26

Saint Etienne

0
0

Nice

13d ago

France | Coupe de France

21 Dec 25

Nice

2
1

Saint Etienne

6mo ago

France | Ligue 1

01 Mar 25

Saint Etienne

1
3

Nice

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Home

0:0

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05

Away

3:1

22/05

23/05
24/05
25/05

Away

0:0

26/05

27/05
28/05

Home

4:1

29/05

30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(50%)

1

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0.5

Scored

Conceded

0.5
1

Nice

Saint Etienne

All Matches

27 Matches

(52%)

14

Wins

Draws: 5

8

(30%)

14

(52%)

5

(19%)

8

(30%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.59
1.22

Scored

Conceded

1.22
1.59

Nice

Saint Etienne

France | Ligue 1

26 May 26

Saint Etienne

0
0

Nice

13d ago

France | Coupe de France

21 Dec 25

Nice

2
1

Saint Etienne

6mo ago

France | Ligue 1

01 Mar 25

Saint Etienne

1
3

Nice

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Home

0:0

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05

Away

3:1

22/05

23/05
24/05
25/05

Away

0:0

26/05

27/05
28/05

Home

4:1

29/05

30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Nice

Saint Etienne

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

29/05

18:45

Nice
Saint Etienne
4
1

H

1.97

D

3.17

A

4.33

W
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

26/05

18:45

Saint Etienne
Nice
0
0

H

2.47

D

3.25

A

2.88

D
France

France | Coupe de France

FT

22/05

19:00

Lens
Nice
3
1

H

1.48

D

4.42

A

6.32

L
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

17/05

19:00

Nice
Metz
0
0

H

1.31

D

5.52

A

9.02

D
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

10/05

19:00

Auxerre
Nice
2
1

H

2.39

D

3.35

A

2.95

L
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

02/05

19:05

Nice
Lens
1
1

H

4.51

D

4.11

A

1.70

D
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

26/04

18:45

Marseille
Nice
1
1

H

1.65

D

4.08

A

4.87

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Nice

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

29/05

18:45

Nice
Saint Etienne
4
1

H

1.97

D

3.17

A

4.33

W
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

26/05

18:45

Saint Etienne
Nice
0
0

H

2.47

D

3.25

A

2.88

D
France

France | Coupe de France

FT

22/05

19:00

Lens
Nice
3
1

H

1.48

D

4.42

A

6.32

L
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

17/05

19:00

Nice
Metz
0
0

H

1.31

D

5.52

A

9.02

D
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

10/05

19:00

Auxerre
Nice
2
1

H

2.39

D

3.35

A

2.95

L
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

02/05

19:05

Nice
Lens
1
1

H

4.51

D

4.11

A

1.70

D
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

26/04

18:45

Marseille
Nice
1
1

H

1.65

D

4.08

A

4.87

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Saint Etienne

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

29/05

18:45

Nice
Saint Etienne
4
1

H

1.97

D

3.17

A

4.33

L
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

26/05

18:45

Saint Etienne
Nice
0
0

H

2.47

D

3.25

A

2.88

D
France

France | Ligue 1

PN

15/05

18:30

Saint Etienne
Rodez
0
0

H

1.75

D

3.95

A

4.36

D
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

09/05

18:00

Saint Etienne
Amiens
5
0

H

1.13

D

8.11

A

15.57

W
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

02/05

18:00

Rodez
Saint Etienne
2
1

H

3.01

D

3.62

A

2.15

L
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

25/04

18:00

Saint Etienne
Estac Troyes
0
3

H

1.92

D

3.62

A

3.62

L
France

France | Ligue 2

FT

18/04

18:00

Bastia
Saint Etienne
2
0

H

3.80

D

3.29

A

1.97

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.67 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

25

M. Cho

6.5
M

20

T. Louchet

7.7
H

11

E. Wahi

9
M

Midfielders

92

J. Clauss

7.9
L

39

D. Coulibaly

6.6
H

8

M. Sanson

6.7
M

26

M. Bard

7.2
L

Defenders

33

A. Mendy

6.3
L

4

Dante

7.6
H

37

K. Peprah

6.7
L

Goalkeepers

80

Y. Diouf

6.5
M
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

H. Boudaoui

Injury

M

Others

M. Abdelmonem

Knee Injury

H

A. Abdi

International duty

H

M. Bombito

Leg Injury

-

T. Ndombele

Inactive

H

E. Pereira

Ankle Injury

-

Nice

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.67 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

25

M. Cho

6.5
M

20

T. Louchet

7.7
H

11

E. Wahi

9
M

Midfielders

92

J. Clauss

7.9
L

39

D. Coulibaly

6.6
H

8

M. Sanson

6.7
M

26

M. Bard

7.2
L

Defenders

33

A. Mendy

6.3
L

4

Dante

7.6
H

37

K. Peprah

6.7
L

Goalkeepers

80

Y. Diouf

6.5
M
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

H. Boudaoui

Injury

M

Others

M. Abdelmonem

Knee Injury

H

A. Abdi

International duty

H

M. Bombito

Leg Injury

-

T. Ndombele

Inactive

H

E. Pereira

Ankle Injury

-

Saint Etienne

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.89 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

7

I. Cardona

6.3
L

9

L. Stassin

5.5
L

22

Z. Davitashvili

7.5
M

Midfielders

20

A. Boakye

6.3
L

14

A. Kante

7
L

35

L. Gadegbeku

6.6
H

Defenders

8

D. Appiah

7.7
H

26

J. Le Cardinal

7.3
L

6

M. Bernauer

6.9
M

39

K. Pedro

5.9
L

Goalkeepers

30

G. Larsonneur

7.5
M
Injuries/Absence

Others

N. El Jamali

Knee Injury

-

P. Eymard

Foot Injury

H

M. Jaber

Surgery

H

C. Lamba

Injury

H

D. N'Guessan

Inactive

H

M. Paalberg

Inactive

-

L. Traore

Inactive

-

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

44%
Overall Form
50%
1
Wins
3
6
Draws
4
3
Losses
3

Rankings

Current Season

16
Ligue 1
NaN
34
Played
NaN
0.94
Points per Match
NaN

Quality

46%
Team Quality
54%
55%
Avg Opponent Quality
53%

Goals Performance

42%
Goals Performance
50%
0.8
Scored Goals
1.3
1.1
Conceded Goals
0.9
-0.3
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.4
1.9
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.2

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.16
Expected Goals
Missing Data (3 | 10)
-
9.9
Total Shots
13
3.2
Shots on Goal
4.3
6.7
Shots Inside Box
7.8
3.2
Shots Outside Box
5.2
45%
Possession
58%
80%
Passes %
85%

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.97

Draw

3.17

Away

4.33

1.94

Home

2.01

3.15

Draw

3.25

4.12

Away

4.33

Max

Home

2.01

Draw

3.25

Away

4.33

%

4%
3%
5%

Min

Home

1.94

Draw

3.15

Away

4.12

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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