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May 31, 2026, 02:00 AM
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The promotion race reaches its climax at the Nou Camp de Sa Pobla as Poblense and Águilas face off after a stalemate in the first leg. With a place in the higher division at stake, Poblense puts their formidable home record on the line against an Águilas defense that has been nearly impenetrable in recent weeks.
Home Motivation
High
As this is a play-off match for promotion, Poblense will have high motivation to advance to the next stage of the competition.
Away Motivation
High
Águilas will also be highly motivated in this play-off fixture as they aim for promotion through the Segunda División RFEF Play-offs.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.9
Points Per Game at Venue
Home/Away split
1.3
Poblense is significantly more productive at home, earning 1.9 PPG compared to the 1.3 PPG Águilas averages on the road.
0.92
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.74
Águilas is trending at 0.74 goals conceded in recent form, which is elite compared to Poblense's 0.92 average.
10%
Loss rate at venue
Home/Away split
50%
A massive gap in reliability: Poblense has lost just 1 in 10 at home, while Águilas has lost half of their last 10 away matches.
1.19
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.36
Both teams are trending below the league average of 2.07, but Águilas has a slightly higher recent-form scoring average.
50%
Clean sheet %
Home/Away split
20%
Poblense has kept a clean sheet in half of their last 10 home games, whereas Águilas only managed this in 2 of their last 10 away trips.
Form & Streaks
Poblense has lost only 1 match in their last 10 at home across all competitions (5W, 4D, 1L).
Águilas has suffered 5 losses in their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
Both teams are currently undefeated in the Segunda División RFEF Play-offs (2W, 1D, 0L).
Tactical Overview
Poblense heads into this decider as the more stable side when playing at home, having avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 matches at the Nou Camp de Sa Pobla. Their tactical approach relies on a balanced attack that produced a 2-1 win over Numancia recently, contrasting with their 0-0 draw in the first leg of this final. Águilas boasts a stingy defense trending at 0.74 goals conceded per game in recent form, which is significantly better than the league baseline. However, while Águilas managed a 2-1 away victory at Utebo earlier in the play-offs, their overall away form is concerning, with 5 losses in their last 10 matches on the road. Poblense will likely look to Aitor Pons or Antoni Peñafort to provide the spark they lacked in the first leg, while Águilas will rely on Seth Vega and their defensive structure to take the match into deep water.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
No specific information on key players for Poblense is available from recent reports to describe their role, form, or why they matter for this match.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
No specific information on key players for Poblense is available from recent reports to describe their role, form, or why they matter for this match.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
No specific information on key players for Águilas is available from recent reports to describe their role, form, or why they matter for this match.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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