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Game Intelligence
Balanced
May 31, 2026, 02:04 AM
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This is the ultimate prize for both Conquense and UD Ourense as they contest the final of the Segunda División RFEF play-offs for promotion. After a tight 1-0 first leg in favor of UD Ourense, everything is on the line in this decisive second leg.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.10
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.33
UD Ourense is more potent offensively on a recent-form basis, averaging 1.33 goals compared to Conquense's 1.10, which is a crucial difference in a tie often decided by fine margins.
0.85
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.94
Conquense boasts a tighter defense in recent form, conceding 0.85 goals per game versus UD Ourense's 0.94, suggesting they are marginally better at shutting down opposition threats.
30%
Win rate %
All competitions (last 10 matc
60%
UD Ourense has a superior win rate over their last 10 games (60% vs 30% for Conquense), indicating a greater capacity to secure victories and maintain momentum.
2.3
PPG (3/1/0)
All comps at venue (last 10 ea
1.2
Conquense is significantly stronger at home in their last 10 matches (2.3 PPG) compared to UD Ourense's away performance (1.2 PPG), a key factor given this match is at Conquense's venue.
70%
Over 2.5 %
All comps at venue (last 10 ea
50%
Conquense's home matches have a higher tendency to produce over 2.5 goals (70%) compared to UD Ourense's away games (50%), suggesting this fixture could open up if Conquense needs to chase the game.
0%
Win rate %
Segunda División RFEF - Play-o
67%
In the Segunda División RFEF Play-offs specifically, UD Ourense has shown a strong ability to win (67% win rate in 3 matches) compared to Conquense's inability to secure a win (0% win rate in 3 matches).
Form & Streaks
Conquense are unbeaten in their last 4 home league matches (2W, 2D), showing solidity at Estadio La Fuensanta.
UD Ourense have won 6 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, with only 1 loss, demonstrating strong recent form heading into this final.
Conquense have failed to win any of their last 3 matches in the Segunda División RFEF Play-offs (0W, 2D, 1L), highlighting a struggle for victories in this specific competition phase.
Tactical Overview
This playoff final presents a fascinating tactical battle, especially after UD Ourense secured a slender 1-0 advantage in the first leg. Conquense now needs to overturn that deficit on home turf, where they boast an impressive record of 7 wins in their last 10 matches at Estadio La Fuensanta, averaging 2.3 points per game in that span. Their home defense has been solid, conceding just 8 goals in those 10 games. Conversely, UD Ourense has shown resilience away from home in this play-off campaign, securing a draw at Reddis and a win at Bergantiños, though their overall away form in the last 10 sees them with fewer wins (3) than losses (4) and conceding more goals (13) than they score (11). The first-leg result means Conquense must push forward, potentially opening up their own defense, while UD Ourense will look to absorb pressure and strike on the counter, as they did to win the first encounter.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Iribarren is a key figure in midfield for Conquense, known for his ability to control the tempo of the game and distribute the ball effectively. Quique González provides an important attacking presence, capable of creating scoring opportunities. Inaki Olaortua is a reliable defender who contributes to the team's solidity at the back.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
Iribarren is a key figure in midfield for Conquense, known for his ability to control the tempo of the game and distribute the ball effectively. Quique González provides an important attacking presence, capable of creating scoring opportunities. Inaki Olaortua is a reliable defender who contributes to the team's solidity at the back.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
S. Pardo is a vital player for UD Ourense, influencing the flow of their attacks and contributing defensively. R. Sanchez offers a dynamic option in the offensive third, capable of impactful plays. Pol Bueso anchors the defense with his experience and strong presence, crucial for preventing opposition threats.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel