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Hong Kong vs Mongolia - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

World

World

Friendlies

Hong Kong

L
D
D
L
D
D

05 Jun 2026

12:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
0)

2

-

0

FT

Mongolia

L
L
W
L
W
L

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.05
-

Draw

12.59
-

Away

28.11
-

1st Half

Home

1.26
-

Draw

3.99
-

Away

16.17
-

2nd Half

Home

1.20
-

Draw

4.84
-

Away

15.43
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

38%

33%

33%

0%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

36%

33%

42%

0%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

42%

20%

60%

0%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

57%

26%

52%

16%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

33%

0%

40%

0%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Good
Attack
Poor
Poor
Defense
Poor

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.33
1.33
1.67

Scored

Conceded

0.83
2.5

Difference

-1.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.83
2.17
1.33

Scored

Conceded

0.67
2.83

Difference

-2.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.25
1.62
1.88

Scored

Conceded

0.38
2.12

Difference

-1.75

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.5
1.8
1.3

Scored

Conceded

0.45
1.65

Difference

-1.2

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.9
1.2
2.1

Scored

Conceded

0
2

Difference

-2

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Good
Attack
Poor
Poor
Defense
Poor

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.33
1.33
1.67

Scored

Conceded

0.83
2.5

Difference

-1.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.83
2.17
1.33

Scored

Conceded

0.67
2.83

Difference

-2.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.25
1.62
1.88

Scored

Conceded

0.38
2.12

Difference

-1.75

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.5
1.8
1.3

Scored

Conceded

0.45
1.65

Difference

-1.2

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.9
1.2
2.1

Scored

Conceded

0
2

Difference

-2

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

38%

33%

33%

0%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

36%

33%

42%

0%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

42%

20%

60%

0%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

57%

26%

52%

16%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

33%

0%

40%

0%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

5
1

Scored

Conceded

1
5

Hong Kong

Mongolia

World | EAFF E-1 Football Championship

16 Nov 18

Mongolia

1
5

Hong Kong

8y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06

Home

2:0

05/06

06/06
07/06
08/06

Away

?

09/06

10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

5
1

Scored

Conceded

1
5

Hong Kong

Mongolia

World | EAFF E-1 Football Championship

16 Nov 18

Mongolia

1
5

Hong Kong

8y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06

Home

2:0

05/06

06/06
07/06
08/06

Away

?

09/06

10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Hong Kong

Mongolia

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

05/06

12:00

Hong Kong
Mongolia
2
0

H

1.05

D

12.59

A

28.11

W
World

World | Asian Cup - Qualification

FT

31/03

13:30

India
Hong Kong
2
1

H

2.33

D

2.91

A

3.04

L
Hong-Kong

Hong Kong | Guangdong - Hong Kong Cup

PN

03/01

08:30

Guangdong XI
Hong Kong
2
2

H

4.32

D

3.89

A

1.59

D
Hong-Kong

Hong Kong | Guangdong - Hong Kong Cup

FT

28/12

12:00

Hong Kong
Guangdong XI
2
2
D
World

World | Asian Cup - Qualification

FT

18/11

12:00

Hong Kong
Singapore
1
2

H

2.06

D

2.95

A

3.52

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

13/11

12:00

Hong Kong
Cambodia
1
1

H

1.47

D

4.37

A

5.52

D
World

World | Asian Cup - Qualification

FT

14/10

12:00

Hong Kong
Bangladesh
1
1

H

1.32

D

4.66

A

8.03

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Hong Kong

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

05/06

12:00

Hong Kong
Mongolia
2
0

H

1.05

D

12.59

A

28.11

W
World

World | Asian Cup - Qualification

FT

31/03

13:30

India
Hong Kong
2
1

H

2.33

D

2.91

A

3.04

L
Hong-Kong

Hong Kong | Guangdong - Hong Kong Cup

PN

03/01

08:30

Guangdong XI
Hong Kong
2
2

H

4.32

D

3.89

A

1.59

D
Hong-Kong

Hong Kong | Guangdong - Hong Kong Cup

FT

28/12

12:00

Hong Kong
Guangdong XI
2
2
D
World

World | Asian Cup - Qualification

FT

18/11

12:00

Hong Kong
Singapore
1
2

H

2.06

D

2.95

A

3.52

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

13/11

12:00

Hong Kong
Cambodia
1
1

H

1.47

D

4.37

A

5.52

D
World

World | Asian Cup - Qualification

FT

14/10

12:00

Hong Kong
Bangladesh
1
1

H

1.32

D

4.66

A

8.03

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Mongolia

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

05/06

12:00

Hong Kong
Mongolia
2
0

H

1.05

D

12.59

A

28.11

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/05

11:30

Singapore
Mongolia
4
0

H

1.15

D

7.34

A

14.98

L
World

World | EAFF E-1 Football Championship - Qualification

FT

11/12

12:00

Chinese Taipei
Mongolia
4
0
L
World

World | Asian Cup - Qualification

FT

10/09

08:00

Mongolia
Timor-Leste
2
0
W
World

World | Asian Cup - Qualification

FT

05/09

08:30

Timor-Leste
Mongolia
4
1

H

2.11

D

3.39

A

3.23

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

11/06

09:00

Mongolia
Cambodia
2
1
W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

07/06

11:00

Cambodia
Mongolia
2
0

H

1.63

D

3.88

A

4.59

L
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 5 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

11

Everton Camargo

-
-

9

Matthew Orr

-
-

7

Juninho Junior

-
-

Midfielders

12

Hei-Wai Ma

-
-

6

Chun-Lok Tan

-
-

10

Wai Wong

-
-

Defenders

4

Vas Nuñez

-
-

3

Oliver Gerbig

-
-

21

Tze-Nam Yue

-
-

17

Shinichi Chan

-
-

Goalkeepers

1

Cheuk-Hei Pong

-
-

Note: Missing historical data for 5 matches

Hong Kong

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 5 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

11

Everton Camargo

-
-

9

Matthew Orr

-
-

7

Juninho Junior

-
-

Midfielders

12

Hei-Wai Ma

-
-

6

Chun-Lok Tan

-
-

10

Wai Wong

-
-

Defenders

4

Vas Nuñez

-
-

3

Oliver Gerbig

-
-

21

Tze-Nam Yue

-
-

17

Shinichi Chan

-
-

Goalkeepers

1

Cheuk-Hei Pong

-
-

Note: Missing historical data for 5 matches

Mongolia

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 8 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

11

Oyunbaatar Mijiddorj

-
-

2

Dulguun Amaraa

-
-

Midfielders

4

Gerelt-Od Bat-Orgil

-
-

10

Tsend-Ayush Khurelbaatar

-
-

7

Ganbold Ganbayar

-
-

Defenders

13

Khashchuluun Naranbaatar

-
-

3

Munkh-Orgil Orkhon

-
-

14

Tsogt-Ochir Jargaltuyaa

-
-

15

Enkh Orgil Otgonbaatar

-
-

Goalkeepers

20

Enkh-Erdene Gan-Erdene

-
-

Note: Missing historical data for 3 matches

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

42%
Overall Form
20%
2
Wins
2
4
Draws
0
4
Losses
8

Quality

50%
Team Quality
26%
44%
Avg Opponent Quality
37%

Goals Performance

45%
Goals Performance
22%
2.1
Scored Goals
0.5
1.6
Conceded Goals
2.1
0.5
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-1.6
3.7
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.6

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

-
Expected Goals
Missing Data (10 | 10)
-
-
Total Shots
6.33
-
Shots on Goal
2.33
-
Shots Inside Box
-
-
Shots Outside Box
-
50%
Possession
34%
-
Passes %
-

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 10 | Away: 7)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.05

Draw

12.59

Away

28.11

1.05

Home

1.05

12.42

Draw

13.13

27.18

Away

28.13

Max

Home

1.05

Draw

13.13

Away

28.13

%

0%
6%
3%

Min

Home

1.05

Draw

12.42

Away

27.18

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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