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Ethiopia vs Malawi - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Ethiopia

W
W
L
W
L
L

06 Jun 2026

15:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
0)

1

-

0

FT

Malawi

L
D
W
D
L
D

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.41
-

Draw

2.98
-

Away

3.01
-

1st Half

Home

3.07
-

Draw

1.92
-

Away

3.71
-

2nd Half

Home

2.78
-

Draw

2.20
-

Away

3.38
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

67%

55%

100%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

50%

47%

50%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

40%

44%

40%

50%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

40%

45%

48%

44%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

-

32%

-

32%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Poor
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.17
1
1.17

Scored

Conceded

0.5
0.67

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.17
1.33
1.17

Scored

Conceded

0.83
0.83

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.5
0.88
1.38

Scored

Conceded

0.38
0.5

Difference

-0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.5
1
1.5

Scored

Conceded

0.65
0.85

Difference

-0.2

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-

Scored

Conceded

0
0.5

Difference

-0.5

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Poor
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.17
1
1.17

Scored

Conceded

0.5
0.67

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.17
1.33
1.17

Scored

Conceded

0.83
0.83

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.5
0.88
1.38

Scored

Conceded

0.38
0.5

Difference

-0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.5
1
1.5

Scored

Conceded

0.65
0.85

Difference

-0.2

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-

Scored

Conceded

0
0.5

Difference

-0.5

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

67%

55%

100%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

50%

47%

50%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

40%

44%

40%

50%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

40%

45%

48%

44%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

-

32%

-

32%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.5
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0.5

Ethiopia

Malawi

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

20 Jun 23

Ethiopia

0
0

Malawi

3y ago

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

05 Jun 22

Malawi

2
1

Ethiopia

4y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

?

06/06

07/06
08/06

Home

?

09/06

10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.5
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0.5

Ethiopia

Malawi

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

20 Jun 23

Ethiopia

0
0

Malawi

3y ago

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

05 Jun 22

Malawi

2
1

Ethiopia

4y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

?

06/06

07/06
08/06

Home

?

09/06

10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

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Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Ethiopia

Malawi

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

06/06

15:00

Ethiopia
Malawi

H

2.44

D

2.99

A

2.99

?
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

FT

31/03

13:00

Ethiopia
Sao Tome and Principe
1
0

H

1.36

D

4.47

A

7.88

W
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

FT

27/03

16:00

Sao Tome and Principe
Ethiopia
0
3

H

4.67

D

3.22

A

1.76

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

12/10

19:00

Burkina Faso
Ethiopia
3
1

H

1.20

D

5.51

A

15.16

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

08/10

13:00

Ethiopia
Guinea-Bissau
1
0

H

5.78

D

3.36

A

1.63

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

09/09

13:00

Sierra Leone
Ethiopia
2
0

H

1.97

D

3.01

A

4.25

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

05/09

19:00

Egypt
Ethiopia
2
0

H

1.17

D

6.02

A

19.30

L
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Ethiopia

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

06/06

15:00

Ethiopia
Malawi

H

2.44

D

2.99

A

2.99

?
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

FT

31/03

13:00

Ethiopia
Sao Tome and Principe
1
0

H

1.36

D

4.47

A

7.88

W
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

FT

27/03

16:00

Sao Tome and Principe
Ethiopia
0
3

H

4.67

D

3.22

A

1.76

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

12/10

19:00

Burkina Faso
Ethiopia
3
1

H

1.20

D

5.51

A

15.16

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

08/10

13:00

Ethiopia
Guinea-Bissau
1
0

H

5.78

D

3.36

A

1.63

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

09/09

13:00

Sierra Leone
Ethiopia
2
0

H

1.97

D

3.01

A

4.25

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

05/09

19:00

Egypt
Ethiopia
2
0

H

1.17

D

6.02

A

19.30

L
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Malawi

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

06/06

15:00

Ethiopia
Malawi

H

2.44

D

2.99

A

2.99

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

13:00

Botswana
Malawi
1
0

H

2.56

D

3.26

A

2.86

L
World

World | Friendlies

PN

28/03

13:00

Zambia U23
Malawi
0
0
D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

18/11

14:00

Lesotho
Malawi
0
1

H

3.02

D

2.81

A

2.49

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

15/11

14:00

Lesotho
Malawi
0
0
D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

13/10

13:00

Sao Tome and Principe
Malawi
1
0

H

14.77

D

5.74

A

1.18

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

08/09

16:00

Malawi
Liberia
2
2

H

2.08

D

2.96

A

3.82

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup
No lineup data available for this match

Ethiopia

Previous Match Lineup
No lineup data available for this match

Malawi

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 7 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Note: Missing historical data for 4 matches

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

40%
Overall Form
44%
4
Wins
2
0
Draws
4
6
Losses
4

Quality

41%
Team Quality
48%
45%
Avg Opponent Quality
41%

Goals Performance

41%
Goals Performance
42%
1.3
Scored Goals
0.5
1.4
Conceded Goals
0.7
-0.1
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.2
2.7
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
1.2

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

-
Expected Goals
Missing Data (10 | 10)
-
-
Total Shots
-
2
Shots on Goal
-
-
Shots Inside Box
-
-
Shots Outside Box
-
50%
Possession
49%
-
Passes %
-

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 8 | Away: 10)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.44

Draw

2.99

Away

2.99

2.44

Home

2.44

2.99

Draw

2.99

2.98

Away

2.99

Max

Home

2.44

Draw

2.99

Away

2.99

%

0%
0%
0%

Min

Home

2.44

Draw

2.99

Away

2.98

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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Historical Math Probability

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Bookmaker Winning Odds Accuracy

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