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Away Favored
May 28, 2026, 02:11 AM
16+ Portals
50+ Data Sources
A top-half Al Talaba side travels to face a struggling Al Minaa Basra in a fixture that carries significant weight for both clubs' league aspirations. Can Al Minaa Basra find form at home against a side that has struggled on the road in recent weeks?
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.11
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.44
Al Talaba averages more goals per game in recent form (1.44 vs 1.11), indicating a stronger attacking threat that could exploit Al Minaa Basra's defense.
1.35
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.16
Al Talaba concedes fewer goals per game on a recent-form basis (1.16 vs 1.35), showing better defensive solidity than Al Minaa Basra.
30%
Win rate %
League (last 10 matches)
40%
Al Talaba has a higher win rate (40% vs 30%) across their last 10 league matches, reflecting their superior current form.
1.17
PPG (3/1/0)
Iraqi League AT VENUE (last 10
1.72
Al Talaba averages significantly more points per game (2.0 vs 1.2) in their last 10 away league matches, demonstrating their effectiveness on the road.
1.17
Goals scored per game (venue)
Season avg
1.44
On a seasonal basis at the venue, Al Talaba scores more goals per game (1.44) than Al Minaa Basra does at home (1.17), suggesting an attacking advantage for the visitors.
20%
Over 2.5 %
Iraqi League AT VENUE (last 10
60%
Al Talaba's matches at this venue have gone over 2.5 goals in 60% of cases over their last 10 appearances, compared to just 20% for Al Minaa Basra, hinting at a potentially more open game involving Al Talaba.
Form & Streaks
Al Minaa Basra have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 home league matches.
Al Talaba have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 away league matches.
Al Minaa Basra have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 league matches overall.
Tactical Overview
Al Talaba sits comfortably in 5th place, a position earned through a more consistent recent run, securing 1.5 points per game in their last 10 league outings compared to Al Minaa Basra's 1.2. Despite Al Minaa Basra's home advantage in this fixture, their recent home form is concerning, with just 3 wins in their last 10 league games at home, averaging 1.17 goals scored per game this season at home. In contrast, Al Talaba's away form has been considerably stronger, picking up 2.0 points per game across their last 10 away matches in all competitions, scoring 17 goals in that span. The head-to-head record is tight, with both teams having two wins from their last five meetings, but recent data points towards an edge for the visitors, especially considering Al Talaba's superior Elo rating.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
C. Loufilou is a crucial attacking presence for Al Minaa Basra, providing creative spark and goal-scoring opportunities. John Gerald Tungamirai Takwara anchors the midfield, offering stability and breaking up opposition play. Mohannad Abdulraheem is a forward who can contribute significantly to the team's offense.
Absences
Hasan Khalaf Hamed
cruciate ligament injury
Home
Key Players
C. Loufilou is a crucial attacking presence for Al Minaa Basra, providing creative spark and goal-scoring opportunities. John Gerald Tungamirai Takwara anchors the midfield, offering stability and breaking up opposition play. Mohannad Abdulraheem is a forward who can contribute significantly to the team's offense.
Absences
Hasan Khalaf Hamed
cruciate ligament injury
Away
Key Players
Humam Tariq is a vital attacking midfielder for Al Talaba, known for his ability to create chances and drive the team forward. Simon Happygod Msuva provides a potent threat in attack with his goal-scoring prowess. I. Niang is a key figure in defense, contributing to the team's solidity at the back.
Absences
Ahmed Suhail Samir
unknown injury
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel