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ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | Ligue 2 - Summary Preview

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ES Hammam-Sousse

D
D
L
D
W
W

29 May 2026

15:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
1)

2

-

3

FT

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

D
W
D
W
W
D

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May 29, 2026, 10:02 AM

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A high-stakes Ligue 2 championship finale sees league leaders Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer attempting to secure automatic promotion against an ES Hammam-Sousse side that has transformed their home ground into an impenetrable fortress. With only five points separating these sides and promotion playoff spots on the line, the tactical battle between the league's most potent attack and a disciplined home defense will decide the season's fate.

Home Motivation

High

ES Hammam-Sousse is in a three-way tie for 2nd place and needs a result to stay in the automatic promotion hunt and maintain their position in the top 3.

Away Motivation

High

As league leaders, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer can practically secure a top-two finish with a win against a direct rival.

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The Evidence

Betting Edge

Key Metrics

Home

Metric

Away

1.59

Goals scored per game

All comps (EWMA)

2.42

The visitors are significantly more prolific, trending at 2.42 goals per game in recent form compared to the league average of 2.21.

2.23

Points Per Game (Venue)

Ligue 2 AT VENUE

1.62

ES Hammam-Sousse is far more efficient at home, earning nearly a full point more per game at their venue than the visitors do on the road.

0.74

Goals conceded per game

All comps (EWMA)

0.52

Both sides are defensively elite, but the visitors are trending at just 0.52 goals conceded per game in recent-form matches.

80%

Win rate % (Venue)

Ligue 2 AT VENUE

40%

The hosts' 80% win rate in their last 10 league home matches is double the visitors' win rate in their last 10 league away matches.

40%

Over 2.5 %

Ligue 2 ONLY

80%

Matches involving Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer are twice as likely to see three or more goals compared to matches involving the hosts.

Form & Streaks

ES Hammam-Sousse has won 8 of their last 10 Ligue 2 matches played at home (8W, 1D, 1L).

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer has secured 7 victories in their last 10 Ligue 2 fixtures (7W, 2D, 1L).

ES Hammam-Sousse has kept a clean sheet in 60% of their last 10 league matches.

Tactical Overview

ES Hammam-Sousse enters this final round showdown in elite home form, having won 8 of their last 10 league matches at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet (8W, 1D, 1L). They have been exceptionally disciplined at the back, maintaining a 60% clean sheet rate across their last 10 Ligue 2 fixtures, including a recent 2-0 win over US Tataouine. However, they face the league’s most clinical offensive unit in Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, who are trending at 2.42 goals scored per game in recent form-well above the league average of 2.21. The visitors have been dominant in the league scope, winning 7 of their last 10 matches and showcasing their depth in a 5-0 dismantling of Redeyef. While the hosts benefit from a massive 18-day rest period, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's offensive output and status as league leaders suggest they will look to dictate possession, forcing ES Hammam-Sousse into the counter-attacking setup suggested by local analysts.

Match Context

Lineup Updates

Based on reports

Key Players

Information regarding ES Hammam-Sousse's key available players for this match is currently unverifiable.

Absences

Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.

Home

Key Players

Information regarding ES Hammam-Sousse's key available players for this match is currently unverifiable.

Absences

Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.

Away

Key Players

Information regarding Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's key available players for this match is currently unverifiable.

Absences

Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.

Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.

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