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JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Japan

Japan

J1 League

JEF United Chiba

D
L
L
L
W
L

06 Jun 2026

05:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
0)

1

-

2

FT

Avispa Fukuoka

D
L
D
D
D
D

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.83
-

Draw

3.02
-

Away

2.58
-

1st Half

Home

3.54
-

Draw

1.95
-

Away

3.30
-

2nd Half

Home

3.20
-

Draw

2.20
-

Away

2.95
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Japan

J1 League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

22%

38%

0%

43%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

28%

47%

25%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

22%

55%

33%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

28%

40%

33%

43%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

28%

42%

33%

44%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Japan

J1 League

Poor
Attack
Poor
Poor
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.83
1.17
2

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.33

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.83
1.17
2

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1.33

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-1.12
1
2.12

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1.25

Difference

0

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.68
1.05
1.74

Scored

Conceded

0.95
1.5

Difference

-0.55

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.68
1.05
1.74

Scored

Conceded

1
1.53

Difference

-0.53

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Japan

J1 League

Poor
Attack
Poor
Poor
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.83
1.17
2

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.33

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.83
1.17
2

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1.33

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-1.12
1
2.12

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1.25

Difference

0

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.68
1.05
1.74

Scored

Conceded

0.95
1.5

Difference

-0.55

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.68
1.05
1.74

Scored

Conceded

1
1.53

Difference

-0.53

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Japan

J1 League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

22%

38%

0%

43%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

28%

47%

25%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

22%

55%

33%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

28%

40%

33%

43%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

28%

42%

33%

44%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
2

Scored

Conceded

2
2

JEF United Chiba

Avispa Fukuoka

All Matches

17 Matches

(35%)

6

Wins

Draws: 7

4

(24%)

6

(35%)

7

(41%)

4

(24%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.47
1.18

Scored

Conceded

1.18
1.47

JEF United Chiba

Avispa Fukuoka

Japan | J1 League

30 May 26

Avispa Fukuoka

2
2

JEF United Chiba

7d ago

Japan | J2 League

25 Oct 20

Avispa Fukuoka

1
0

JEF United Chiba

6y ago

Japan | J2 League

02 Sep 20

JEF United Chiba

2
2

Avispa Fukuoka

6y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05

Away

4:2

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

2:2

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:2

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
2

Scored

Conceded

2
2

JEF United Chiba

Avispa Fukuoka

All Matches

17 Matches

(35%)

6

Wins

Draws: 7

4

(24%)

6

(35%)

7

(41%)

4

(24%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.47
1.18

Scored

Conceded

1.18
1.47

JEF United Chiba

Avispa Fukuoka

Japan | J1 League

30 May 26

Avispa Fukuoka

2
2

JEF United Chiba

7d ago

Japan | J2 League

25 Oct 20

Avispa Fukuoka

1
0

JEF United Chiba

6y ago

Japan | J2 League

02 Sep 20

JEF United Chiba

2
2

Avispa Fukuoka

6y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05

Away

4:2

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

2:2

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:2

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

JEF United Chiba

Avispa Fukuoka

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/06

05:00

JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2

H

2.83

D

3.02

A

2.58

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

30/05

07:00

Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
2
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

23/05

09:00

Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
4
2

H

1.54

D

4.09

A

5.54

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

17/05

05:00

JEF United Chiba
Kashima
0
2

H

4.83

D

3.65

A

1.69

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

10/05

08:00

JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
0
2

H

4.28

D

3.38

A

1.84

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/05

06:00

FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3

H

1.42

D

4.44

A

7.04

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

02/05

07:00

Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0

H

1.70

D

3.65

A

4.78

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

JEF United Chiba

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/06

05:00

JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2

H

2.83

D

3.02

A

2.58

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

30/05

07:00

Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
2
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

23/05

09:00

Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
4
2

H

1.54

D

4.09

A

5.54

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

17/05

05:00

JEF United Chiba
Kashima
0
2

H

4.83

D

3.65

A

1.69

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

10/05

08:00

JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
0
2

H

4.28

D

3.38

A

1.84

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/05

06:00

FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3

H

1.42

D

4.44

A

7.04

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

02/05

07:00

Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0

H

1.70

D

3.65

A

4.78

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Avispa Fukuoka

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/06

05:00

JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2

H

2.83

D

3.02

A

2.58

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

30/05

07:00

Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
2
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

23/05

05:00

Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
0
1

H

4.62

D

3.40

A

1.78

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

10/05

05:00

Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1

H

2.15

D

3.15

A

3.43

D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

06/05

05:00

Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1

H

3.29

D

3.05

A

2.26

D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

03/05

06:00

Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1

H

1.77

D

3.64

A

4.30

D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

29/04

05:00

Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
2

H

4.96

D

3.52

A

1.70

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.89 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Hiroto Goya

6.9
M

Midfielders

15

Takayuki Mae

7
M

4

Taishi Taguchi

6.9
H

7

Kazuki Tanaka

6.9
H

20

Daichi Ishikawa

6.2
M

14

Naoki Tsubaki

6.3
H

Defenders

2

Issei Takahashi

6.6
M

24

Koji Toriumi

6.9
H

28

Takashi Kawano

6.3
L

67

Masaru Hidaka

6.2
M

Goalkeepers

19

José Aurelio Suárez

6
M

JEF United Chiba

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.89 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Hiroto Goya

6.9
M

Midfielders

15

Takayuki Mae

7
M

4

Taishi Taguchi

6.9
H

7

Kazuki Tanaka

6.9
H

20

Daichi Ishikawa

6.2
M

14

Naoki Tsubaki

6.3
H

Defenders

2

Issei Takahashi

6.6
M

24

Koji Toriumi

6.9
H

28

Takashi Kawano

6.3
L

67

Masaru Hidaka

6.2
M

Goalkeepers

19

José Aurelio Suárez

6
M

Avispa Fukuoka

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.33 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

6

Masato Shigemi

6.2
M

22

Kazuki Fujimoto

6.2
M

7

Shosei Usui

6.3
L

Midfielders

47

Yu Hashimoto

7.6
M

34

Keiya Shiihashi

6.7
M

11

Tomoya Miki

6.6
L

29

Maejima Yota

7.2
M

Defenders

16

Teppei Oka

6.7
L

5

Kamijima Takumi

6.7
H

15

Yuma Tsujioka

6.3
M

Goalkeepers

41

Kazuki Fujita

6.6
L

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

22%
Overall Form
55%
1
Wins
2
2
Draws
6
7
Losses
2

Rankings

Current Season

10
East
10
18
Played
18
0.67
Points per Match
1.17

Quality

29%
Team Quality
49%
55%
Avg Opponent Quality
50%

Goals Performance

30%
Goals Performance
47%
1.1
Scored Goals
1.2
1.9
Conceded Goals
1.3
-0.8
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.1
3
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.5

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.13
Expected Goals
Missing Data (4 | 4)
0.72
10.9
Total Shots
10.7
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.8
6.5
Shots Inside Box
6.4
4.4
Shots Outside Box
4.3
46%
Possession
43%
79%
Passes %
73%

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.83

Draw

3.02

Away

2.58

2.79

Home

2.83

3.01

Draw

3.02

2.56

Away

2.63

Max

Home

2.83

Draw

3.02

Away

2.63

%

1%
0%
3%

Min

Home

2.79

Draw

3.01

Away

2.56

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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