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Home Favored
Jun 6, 2026, 02:00 PM
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Vila Capanema is set to boil as Parana looks to settle a 19-year-old score in this second-leg final after a 1-1 draw in the opener. Both sides have secured promotion, but with 16,000 tickets sold in two hours, the title means everything to the Curitiba faithful.
Home Motivation
High
Motivation is high as Paraná seeks to crown their undefeated season with a trophy in front of a sold-out home crowd, despite the primary goal of promotion already being achieved.
Away Motivation
High
Paranavaí is equally motivated to secure the title as underdogs, especially given the historical context of their 2007 victory at this same stadium.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
2.03
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.16
Parana's attack is trending at 2.03 goals per game in recent form, nearly double the 1.16 rate of the visitors.
0.50
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.08
The hosts are conceding just 0.50 goals per game on a recent-form basis, displaying superior defensive organization.
3.0
Points Per Game (PPG)
Home/Away split
1.00
In their last 10 league home matches, Parana has been perfect with 3.0 PPG, while Paranavaí averages 1.8 on their travels.
80%
Win rate %
Last 10 matches
40%
Parana has won 80% of their last 10 matches, doubling the 40% win rate recorded by Paranavaí.
50%
Clean sheet %
Home/Away split
20%
At home in the league, Parana keeps a clean sheet in half their matches, while the visitors manage one in every five away games.
Form & Streaks
Parana is undefeated in their last 10 league matches (8W, 2D, 0L).
Parana has won 10 consecutive home matches in the Paranaense - 2.
Paranavaí has won 5 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions (5W, 3D, 2L).
Tactical Overview
Parana enters this second leg in formidable territory, carrying a perfect record of 10 wins from their last 10 home matches in the Paranaense Second Division. While the 1-1 draw in the first leg showed Paranavaí can resist, the visitors have struggled for consistency, winning only 4 of their last 10 matches overall across all competitions. Defensively, Parana has been elite, trending at 0.50 goals conceded per game in recent form, which is significantly lower than the Paranavaí recent-form average of 1.08. The loss of Daniel Cruz to suspension is a blow, but manager Tcheco boasts depth in Liliu and Lucão to maintain an attack that has been scoring 2.03 goals per game on a recent-form basis. Paranavaí performs better on the road than at home, winning 5 of their last 10 away fixtures, but they face a historical mountain against a side that has a perfect 5-0-0 record at home this season.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Information about Parana's key players is not available from the search results after 2026-06-05.
Absences
Daniel Cruz
Sent off in the first leg of the final.
Eduardo
Sidelined with a lesion.
Salazar
undisclosed injury
Home
Key Players
Information about Parana's key players is not available from the search results after 2026-06-05.
Absences
Daniel Cruz
Sent off in the first leg of the final.
Eduardo
Sidelined with a lesion.
Salazar
undisclosed injury
Away
Key Players
Information about Paranavaí's key players is not available from the search results after 2026-06-05.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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