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Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Japan

Japan

J1 League

Urawa

D
L
D
W
W
W

06 Jun 2026

07:00 (UTC+0)

(0
-
1)

0

-

2

FT

Fagiano Okayama

D
L
W
W
L
W

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.94
-

Draw

3.33
-

Away

3.89
-

1st Half

Home

2.53
-

Draw

2.10
-

Away

4.47
-

2nd Half

Home

2.33
-

Draw

2.37
-

Away

3.98
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Japan

J1 League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

38%

50%

83%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

69%

58%

50%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

57%

58%

55%

62%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

54%

56%

65%

56%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

52%

54%

50%

58%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Japan

J1 League

Good
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.83
1.33
0.5

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1

Difference

+0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.33
1.33
1

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.33

Difference

+0.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.38
1.12
0.75

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.62

Difference

-0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.55
1.5
0.95

Scored

Conceded

1.35
1.35

Difference

0

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.37
1.37
1

Scored

Conceded

1.32
1.37

Difference

-0.05

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Japan

J1 League

Good
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.83
1.33
0.5

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1

Difference

+0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.33
1.33
1

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.33

Difference

+0.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.38
1.12
0.75

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.62

Difference

-0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.55
1.5
0.95

Scored

Conceded

1.35
1.35

Difference

0

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.37
1.37
1

Scored

Conceded

1.32
1.37

Difference

-0.05

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Japan

J1 League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

38%

50%

83%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

69%

58%

50%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

57%

58%

55%

62%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

54%

56%

65%

56%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

52%

54%

50%

58%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(50%)

1

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0.5

Scored

Conceded

0.5
1

Urawa

Fagiano Okayama

All Matches

3 Matches

(67%)

2

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

2

(67%)

1

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0.33

Scored

Conceded

0.33
1

Urawa

Fagiano Okayama

Japan | J1 League

31 May 26

Fagiano Okayama

1
1

Urawa

6d ago

Japan | J1 League

30 Nov 25

Fagiano Okayama

0
1

Urawa

6mo ago

Japan | J1 League

08 Mar 25

Urawa

1
0

Fagiano Okayama

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05

Away

1:0

22/05

23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Away

1:1

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

?

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(50%)

1

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0.5

Scored

Conceded

0.5
1

Urawa

Fagiano Okayama

All Matches

3 Matches

(67%)

2

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

2

(67%)

1

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0.33

Scored

Conceded

0.33
1

Urawa

Fagiano Okayama

Japan | J1 League

31 May 26

Fagiano Okayama

1
1

Urawa

6d ago

Japan | J1 League

30 Nov 25

Fagiano Okayama

0
1

Urawa

6mo ago

Japan | J1 League

08 Mar 25

Urawa

1
0

Fagiano Okayama

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05

Away

1:0

22/05

23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Away

1:1

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

?

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Urawa

Fagiano Okayama

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

06/06

07:00

Urawa
Fagiano Okayama

H

1.94

D

3.29

A

3.84

?
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

31/05

05:00

Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
1
1
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

22/05

10:30

Machida Zelvia
Urawa
1
0

H

2.33

D

2.98

A

3.22

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

16/05

07:00

Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0

H

2.80

D

3.14

A

2.50

D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

09/05

05:00

Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4

H

3.83

D

3.29

A

1.96

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/05

10:00

Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
0
1

H

2.21

D

3.29

A

3.17

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

02/05

07:00

Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0

H

1.70

D

3.65

A

4.78

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Urawa

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

06/06

07:00

Urawa
Fagiano Okayama

H

1.94

D

3.29

A

3.84

?
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

31/05

05:00

Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
1
1
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

22/05

10:30

Machida Zelvia
Urawa
1
0

H

2.33

D

2.98

A

3.22

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

16/05

07:00

Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0

H

2.80

D

3.14

A

2.50

D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

09/05

05:00

Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4

H

3.83

D

3.29

A

1.96

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/05

10:00

Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
0
1

H

2.21

D

3.29

A

3.17

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

02/05

07:00

Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0

H

1.70

D

3.65

A

4.78

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Fagiano Okayama

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

06/06

07:00

Urawa
Fagiano Okayama

H

1.94

D

3.29

A

3.84

?
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

31/05

05:00

Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
1
1
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

24/05

03:55

Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
3

H

2.77

D

3.29

A

2.46

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

17/05

05:00

Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0

H

2.45

D

3.08

A

2.93

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

10/05

05:00

Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
0
3

H

1.63

D

3.68

A

5.23

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/05

04:03

V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
1

H

2.81

D

3.10

A

2.55

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

02/05

04:00

Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0

H

4.43

D

3.51

A

1.79

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.33 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

17

Hiiro Komori

6.7
H

Midfielders

25

Kaito Yasui

6.9
L

13

Ryoma Watanabe

6.6
L

77

Takuro Kaneko

6.3
M

10

Shoya Nakajima

6.7
M

8

Matheus Sávio

6.6
M

Defenders

3

Danilo Boza

7.7
H

2

Yuta Miyamoto

6.9
L

5

Kenta Nemoto

6.9
L

88

Yoichi Naganuma

6.9
M

Goalkeepers

1

Shusaku Nishikawa

6.3
L

Urawa

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.33 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

17

Hiiro Komori

6.7
H

Midfielders

25

Kaito Yasui

6.9
L

13

Ryoma Watanabe

6.6
L

77

Takuro Kaneko

6.3
M

10

Shoya Nakajima

6.7
M

8

Matheus Sávio

6.6
M

Defenders

3

Danilo Boza

7.7
H

2

Yuta Miyamoto

6.9
L

5

Kenta Nemoto

6.9
L

88

Yoichi Naganuma

6.9
M

Goalkeepers

1

Shusaku Nishikawa

6.3
L

Fagiano Okayama

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.89 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

22

Kazunari Ichimi

6.3
H

8

Ataru Esaka

6.5
L

99

Lucão

6.2
H

Midfielders

26

Haruka Motoyama

6.9
H

41

Eiji Miyamoto

7.3
L

33

Yuta Kamiya

7.2
H

51

Kosuke Shirai

6.6
M

Defenders

6

Hiroshi Omori

8
M

48

Yugo Tatsuta

7
L

43

Yoshitake Suzuki

7.2
M

Goalkeepers

1

Lennart Moser

7
H

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

57%
Overall Form
58%
4
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
3

Rankings

Current Season

6
East
6
18
Played
18
1.39
Points per Match
1.44

Quality

58%
Team Quality
57%
54%
Avg Opponent Quality
54%

Goals Performance

54%
Goals Performance
52%
1.3
Scored Goals
1.6
0.8
Conceded Goals
1.4
0.5
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.2
2.1
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.17
Expected Goals
Missing Data (5 | 3)
1.71
13.3
Total Shots
11.6
4.1
Shots on Goal
3.6
7.6
Shots Inside Box
8.1
5.7
Shots Outside Box
3.5
57%
Possession
39%
84%
Passes %
67%

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.94

Draw

3.29

Away

3.84

1.94

Home

1.94

3.29

Draw

3.29

3.84

Away

3.84

Max

Home

1.94

Draw

3.29

Away

3.84

%

0%
0%
0%

Min

Home

1.94

Draw

3.29

Away

3.84

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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