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Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Japan

Japan

J1 League

Tokyo Verdy

D
L
W
D
L
L

06 Jun 2026

07:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
1)

2

-

4

FT

Gamba Osaka

D
W
W
L
L
W

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

3.01
-

Draw

3.01
-

Away

2.41
-

1st Half

Home

3.70
-

Draw

1.95
-

Away

3.13
-

2nd Half

Home

3.40
-

Draw

2.19
-

Away

2.81
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Japan

J1 League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

50%

67%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

52%

58%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

60%

43%

60%

52%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

50%

56%

60%

51%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

52%

54%

67%

58%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Japan

J1 League

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-1.17
0.5
1.67

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1

Difference

+0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.83
0.67
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.17

Difference

+0.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.12
0.75
0.62

Scored

Conceded

1.12
1.38

Difference

-0.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.45
1.05
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.55
1.2

Difference

+0.35

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.32
1.05
1.37

Scored

Conceded

1.42
1.21

Difference

+0.21

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Japan

J1 League

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-1.17
0.5
1.67

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1

Difference

+0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.83
0.67
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.17

Difference

+0.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.12
0.75
0.62

Scored

Conceded

1.12
1.38

Difference

-0.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.45
1.05
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.55
1.2

Difference

+0.35

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.32
1.05
1.37

Scored

Conceded

1.42
1.21

Difference

+0.21

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Japan

J1 League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

50%

67%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

52%

58%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

60%

43%

60%

52%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

50%

56%

60%

51%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

52%

54%

67%

58%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
2.5

Scored

Conceded

2.5
1

Tokyo Verdy

Gamba Osaka

All Matches

7 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 5

2

(29%)

5

(71%)

2

(29%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.86
1.43

Scored

Conceded

1.43
0.86

Tokyo Verdy

Gamba Osaka

Japan | J1 League

30 May 26

Gamba Osaka

1
1

Tokyo Verdy

9d ago

Japan | J1 League

06 Dec 25

Gamba Osaka

4
1

Tokyo Verdy

6mo ago

Japan | J1 League

02 Mar 25

Tokyo Verdy

0
1

Gamba Osaka

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

0:6

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

1:1

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

2:4

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
2.5

Scored

Conceded

2.5
1

Tokyo Verdy

Gamba Osaka

All Matches

7 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 5

2

(29%)

5

(71%)

2

(29%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.86
1.43

Scored

Conceded

1.43
0.86

Tokyo Verdy

Gamba Osaka

Japan | J1 League

30 May 26

Gamba Osaka

1
1

Tokyo Verdy

9d ago

Japan | J1 League

06 Dec 25

Gamba Osaka

4
1

Tokyo Verdy

6mo ago

Japan | J1 League

02 Mar 25

Tokyo Verdy

0
1

Gamba Osaka

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

0:6

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

1:1

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

2:4

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Tokyo Verdy

Gamba Osaka

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/06

07:00

Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
2
4

H

2.21

D

3.10

A

3.55

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

30/05

07:00

Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

24/05

05:00

Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
6

H

2.63

D

3.01

A

2.78

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

16/05

05:00

Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1

H

2.84

D

2.90

A

2.66

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

13/05

10:00

Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
0

H

1.91

D

3.05

A

4.57

D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

10/05

06:00

FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1

H

1.84

D

3.28

A

4.43

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/05

08:00

Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
1
0

H

2.11

D

3.22

A

3.43

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Tokyo Verdy

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/06

07:00

Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
2
4

H

2.21

D

3.10

A

3.55

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

30/05

07:00

Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

24/05

05:00

Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
6

H

2.63

D

3.01

A

2.78

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

16/05

05:00

Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1

H

2.84

D

2.90

A

2.66

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

13/05

10:00

Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
0

H

1.91

D

3.05

A

4.57

D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

10/05

06:00

FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1

H

1.84

D

3.28

A

4.43

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/05

08:00

Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
1
0

H

2.11

D

3.22

A

3.43

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Gamba Osaka

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/06

07:00

Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
2
4

H

2.21

D

3.10

A

3.55

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

30/05

07:00

Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

24/05

08:00

Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2

H

2.70

D

3.25

A

2.52

W
World

World | AFC Champions League Two

FT

16/05

17:45

Al-Nassr
Gamba Osaka
0
1

H

1.39

D

4.52

A

6.69

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

10/05

06:00

Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/05

05:00

Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1

H

2.20

D

3.44

A

3.03

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

02/05

06:00

Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
5
0

H

2.79

D

3.28

A

2.42

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.67 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

40

Yuta Arai

7.5
H

14

Yuya Fukuda

6.2
M

9

Itsuki Someno

7.3
M

Midfielders

7

Yuan Matsuhashi

6.2
M

16

Rei Hirakawa

6.2
M

10

Koki Morita

6.7
L

23

Daiki Fukazawa

6.7
M

Defenders

15

Kaito Suzuki

6
L

5

Inoue Ryota

6.3
M

6

Kazuya Miyahara

6.3
H

Goalkeepers

21

Yuya Nagasawa

6
M

Tokyo Verdy

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.67 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

40

Yuta Arai

7.5
H

14

Yuya Fukuda

6.2
M

9

Itsuki Someno

7.3
M

Midfielders

7

Yuan Matsuhashi

6.2
M

16

Rei Hirakawa

6.2
M

10

Koki Morita

6.7
L

23

Daiki Fukazawa

6.7
M

Defenders

15

Kaito Suzuki

6
L

5

Inoue Ryota

6.3
M

6

Kazuya Miyahara

6.3
H

Goalkeepers

21

Yuya Nagasawa

6
M

Gamba Osaka

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.22 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

42

Harumi Minamino

6.3
M

Midfielders

32

Yuki Yoshihara

6.5
H

27

Rin Mito

7
L

38

Gaku Nawata

9.7
H

35

Taiki Tono

7.3
H

44

Kanji Okunuki

6.7
H

Defenders

15

Takeru Kishimoto

6.5
M

19

Ginjiro Ikegaya

6.2
H

67

Shogo Sasaki

6.2
H

47

Shinya Nakano

7.3
H

Goalkeepers

22

Jun Ichimori

6.6
H

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

60%
Overall Form
53%
4
Wins
3
3
Draws
4
3
Losses
3

Rankings

Current Season

5
East
5
18
Played
18
1.56
Points per Match
1.56

Quality

57%
Team Quality
55%
56%
Avg Opponent Quality
55%

Goals Performance

47%
Goals Performance
50%
0.8
Scored Goals
1.5
1.2
Conceded Goals
1.1
-0.4
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.4
2
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.6

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.07
Expected Goals
Missing Data (2 | 5)
1.06
11
Total Shots
11.78
3
Shots on Goal
4.67
6.7
Shots Inside Box
7.33
4.3
Shots Outside Box
4.44
38%
Possession
56%
71%
Passes %
77%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 0 | Away: 1)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.21

Draw

3.10

Away

3.55

2.21

Home

3.01

3.01

Draw

3.10

2.41

Away

3.55

Max

Home

3.01

Draw

3.10

Away

3.55

%

36%
3%
47%

Min

Home

2.21

Draw

3.01

Away

2.41

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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