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Junior vs Atletico Nacional - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Colombia

Colombia

Primera A

Junior

L
D
W
D
D
W

03 Jun 2026

00:30 (UTC+0)

(2
-
0)

3

-

0

FT

Atletico Nacional

W
W
W
W
L
L

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.73
-

Draw

2.98
-

Away

2.67
-

1st Half

Home

3.31
-

Draw

1.99
-

Away

3.32
-

2nd Half

Home

3.01
-

Draw

2.29
-

Away

2.91
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Colombia

Primera A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

100%

67%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

72%

67%

67%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

73%

75%

65%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

64%

72%

68%

55%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

64%

76%

62%

58%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Colombia

Primera A

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.33
1.5
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.17
0.83

Difference

+1.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.83
0.5

Difference

+2.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.75
1.5
0.75

Scored

Conceded

1.62
0.75

Difference

+0.88

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.4
1.5
1.1

Scored

Conceded

1.9
0.8

Difference

+1.1

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.35
1.52
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.09
0.78

Difference

+1.3

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Colombia

Primera A

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.33
1.5
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.17
0.83

Difference

+1.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.83
0.5

Difference

+2.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.75
1.5
0.75

Scored

Conceded

1.62
0.75

Difference

+0.88

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.4
1.5
1.1

Scored

Conceded

1.9
0.8

Difference

+1.1

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.35
1.52
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.09
0.78

Difference

+1.3

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Colombia

Primera A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

100%

67%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

72%

67%

67%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

73%

75%

65%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

64%

72%

68%

55%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

64%

76%

62%

58%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

4 Matches

(50%)

2

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(25%)

2

(50%)

1

(25%)

1

(25%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.25
1.75

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.25

Junior

Atletico Nacional

All Matches

33 Matches

(30%)

10

Wins

Draws: 16

7

(21%)

10

(30%)

16

(48%)

7

(21%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.3
1.21

Scored

Conceded

1.21
1.3

Junior

Atletico Nacional

Colombia | Primera A

11 Mar 26

Junior

0
4

Atletico Nacional

3mo ago

Colombia | Primera A

30 Nov 25

Junior

2
1

Atletico Nacional

6mo ago

Colombia | Primera A

27 Nov 25

Atletico Nacional

1
1

Junior

6mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05

Home

3:2

21/05

22/05
23/05

Home

0:0

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05

Away

4:1

28/05

29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06

Home

3:0

03/06

04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Away

?

08/06

09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

4 Matches

(50%)

2

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(25%)

2

(50%)

1

(25%)

1

(25%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.25
1.75

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.25

Junior

Atletico Nacional

All Matches

33 Matches

(30%)

10

Wins

Draws: 16

7

(21%)

10

(30%)

16

(48%)

7

(21%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.3
1.21

Scored

Conceded

1.21
1.3

Junior

Atletico Nacional

Colombia | Primera A

11 Mar 26

Junior

0
4

Atletico Nacional

3mo ago

Colombia | Primera A

30 Nov 25

Junior

2
1

Atletico Nacional

6mo ago

Colombia | Primera A

27 Nov 25

Atletico Nacional

1
1

Junior

6mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05

Home

3:2

21/05

22/05
23/05

Home

0:0

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05

Away

4:1

28/05

29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06

Home

3:0

03/06

04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Away

?

08/06

09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Junior

Atletico Nacional

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

03/06

00:30

Junior
Atletico Nacional
3
0

H

2.73

D

2.98

A

2.67

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

28/05

22:00

Palmeiras
Junior
4
1

H

1.21

D

6.37

A

12.39

L
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

PN

24/05

01:30

Junior
Santa Fe
0
0

H

1.92

D

3.34

A

3.90

D
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

21/05

02:00

Junior
Sporting Cristal
3
2

H

1.76

D

3.57

A

4.66

W
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

17/05

01:30

Santa Fe
Junior
1
1

H

1.73

D

3.56

A

4.59

D
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

14/05

01:15

Junior
Once Caldas
2
2

H

2.14

D

3.32

A

3.23

D
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

10/05

23:10

Once Caldas
Junior
0
1

H

2.06

D

3.26

A

3.47

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Junior

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

03/06

00:30

Junior
Atletico Nacional
3
0

H

2.73

D

2.98

A

2.67

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

28/05

22:00

Palmeiras
Junior
4
1

H

1.21

D

6.37

A

12.39

L
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

PN

24/05

01:30

Junior
Santa Fe
0
0

H

1.92

D

3.34

A

3.90

D
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

21/05

02:00

Junior
Sporting Cristal
3
2

H

1.76

D

3.57

A

4.66

W
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

17/05

01:30

Santa Fe
Junior
1
1

H

1.73

D

3.56

A

4.59

D
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

14/05

01:15

Junior
Once Caldas
2
2

H

2.14

D

3.32

A

3.23

D
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

10/05

23:10

Once Caldas
Junior
0
1

H

2.06

D

3.26

A

3.47

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Atletico Nacional

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

03/06

00:30

Junior
Atletico Nacional
3
0

H

2.73

D

2.98

A

2.67

L
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

23/05

23:00

Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1

H

1.74

D

3.58

A

4.54

W
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

16/05

23:00

Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
0
1

H

2.49

D

3.13

A

2.80

W
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

12/05

23:20

Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
7
1

H

1.43

D

4.33

A

6.80

W
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

09/05

21:00

Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
1
2

H

3.32

D

3.26

A

2.13

W
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

01/05

23:00

Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
1
0

H

2.54

D

3.33

A

2.60

L
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

25/04

21:00

Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
1
0

H

7.92

D

4.45

A

1.38

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 7.33 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

L. Muriel

8.2
M

Midfielders

80

F. S. Angel Bernal

7.2
M

14

J. Rios

6.9
M

77

C. Barrios

7.6
H

20

J. Sarmiento

7
H

88

B. Castrillon

7.2
H

Defenders

34

J. Guerrero

7.6
M

98

J. Pena

7.3
M

5

D. Rivera

6.6
H

26

Y. Suarez

7
M

Goalkeepers

1

M. Silveira

7
M

Junior

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 7.33 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

L. Muriel

8.2
M

Midfielders

80

F. S. Angel Bernal

7.2
M

14

J. Rios

6.9
M

77

C. Barrios

7.6
H

20

J. Sarmiento

7
H

88

B. Castrillon

7.2
H

Defenders

34

J. Guerrero

7.6
M

98

J. Pena

7.3
M

5

D. Rivera

6.6
H

26

Y. Suarez

7
M

Goalkeepers

1

M. Silveira

7
M

Atletico Nacional

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.33 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

A. Morelos

5.9
L

Midfielders

21

J. Campuzano

7
L

80

J. Zapata

6.9
H

18

E. Bello

6.3
L

19

J. Rengifo

6.6
L

13

N. Rodriguez

6.3
L

Defenders

6

A. Roman

6.2
L

4

C. Haydar

7.5
H

16

W. Tesillo

6.2
L

33

S. Velasquez

5.9
H

Goalkeepers

15

H. Castillo

6.3
H

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

53%
Overall Form
72%
3
Wins
7
4
Draws
1
3
Losses
2

Rankings

Current Season

2
Primera Division: Apertura
1
19
Played
19
1.84
Points per Match
2.11

Quality

53%
Team Quality
70%
58%
Avg Opponent Quality
49%

Goals Performance

44%
Goals Performance
63%
1.3
Scored Goals
2
1.6
Conceded Goals
0.8
-0.3
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
1.2
2.9
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.8

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.03
Expected Goals
1.48
13.78
Total Shots
17
4.11
Shots on Goal
6.4
7
Shots Inside Box
9.3
6.78
Shots Outside Box
7.7
52%
Possession
55%
81%
Passes %
86%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 1 | Away: 0)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.73

Draw

2.98

Away

2.67

2.39

Home

2.73

2.98

Draw

3.17

2.67

Away

2.89

Max

Home

2.73

Draw

3.17

Away

2.89

%

14%
6%
8%

Min

Home

2.39

Draw

2.98

Away

2.67

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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