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Defensor Sporting vs Boston River - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Uruguay

Uruguay

Primera División - Apertura

Defensor Sporting

D
L
L
L
D
W

vs

07 Jun 2026

21:30 (UTC+0)

Boston River

L
L
L
W
W
L

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.13
-

Draw

3.16
-

Away

3.32
-

1st Half

Home

2.77
-

Draw

2.05
-

Away

3.96
-

2nd Half

Home

2.52
-

Draw

2.33
-

Away

3.53
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Uruguay

Primera División - Apertura

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

22%

33%

33%

0%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

33%

58%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

44%

50%

65%

26%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

54%

41%

65%

35%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

51%

40%

62%

33%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Uruguay

Primera División - Apertura

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
0.67
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.33
2

Difference

-0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.17
1.17
1

Scored

Conceded

1.83
1

Difference

+0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.5
0.75
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.38
1.75

Difference

-0.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

0
0.85
0.85

Scored

Conceded

1.05
1.4

Difference

-0.35

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.06
0.78
0.83

Scored

Conceded

1
1.39

Difference

-0.39

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Uruguay

Primera División - Apertura

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
0.67
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.33
2

Difference

-0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.17
1.17
1

Scored

Conceded

1.83
1

Difference

+0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.5
0.75
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.38
1.75

Difference

-0.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

0
0.85
0.85

Scored

Conceded

1.05
1.4

Difference

-0.35

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.06
0.78
0.83

Scored

Conceded

1
1.39

Difference

-0.39

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Uruguay

Primera División - Apertura

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

22%

33%

33%

0%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

33%

58%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

44%

50%

65%

26%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

54%

41%

65%

35%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

51%

40%

62%

33%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(50%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
2

Scored

Conceded

2
1

Defensor Sporting

Boston River

All Matches

22 Matches

(45%)

10

Wins

Draws: 6

6

(27%)

10

(45%)

6

(27%)

6

(27%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.32
1.09

Scored

Conceded

1.09
1.32

Defensor Sporting

Boston River

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

11 Apr 26

Defensor Sporting

2
0

Boston River

2mo ago

Uruguay | Primera División - Clausura

02 Aug 25

Boston River

4
0

Defensor Sporting

10mo ago

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

01 Feb 25

Defensor Sporting

2
0

Boston River

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

0:2

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

0:0

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06

Home

?

07/06

08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(50%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
2

Scored

Conceded

2
1

Defensor Sporting

Boston River

All Matches

22 Matches

(45%)

10

Wins

Draws: 6

6

(27%)

10

(45%)

6

(27%)

6

(27%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.32
1.09

Scored

Conceded

1.09
1.32

Defensor Sporting

Boston River

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

11 Apr 26

Defensor Sporting

2
0

Boston River

2mo ago

Uruguay | Primera División - Clausura

02 Aug 25

Boston River

4
0

Defensor Sporting

10mo ago

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

01 Feb 25

Defensor Sporting

2
0

Boston River

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

0:2

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

0:0

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06

Home

?

07/06

08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Defensor Sporting

Boston River

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

07/06

21:30

Defensor Sporting
Boston River

H

1.98

D

3.18

A

3.70

?
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

30/05

13:00

Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0

H

2.00

D

3.11

A

3.70

D
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

24/05

21:30

Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2

H

3.24

D

3.11

A

2.18

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

17/05

13:00

Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
2
1

H

2.84

D

3.04

A

2.45

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

10/05

14:00

Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
2

H

2.20

D

3.17

A

3.09

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

04/05

22:30

Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1

H

1.67

D

3.40

A

4.99

D
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

27/04

22:30

Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0

H

1.89

D

3.19

A

4.03

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Defensor Sporting

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

07/06

21:30

Defensor Sporting
Boston River

H

1.98

D

3.18

A

3.70

?
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

30/05

13:00

Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0

H

2.00

D

3.11

A

3.70

D
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

24/05

21:30

Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2

H

3.24

D

3.11

A

2.18

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

17/05

13:00

Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
2
1

H

2.84

D

3.04

A

2.45

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

10/05

14:00

Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
2

H

2.20

D

3.17

A

3.09

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

04/05

22:30

Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1

H

1.67

D

3.40

A

4.99

D
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

27/04

22:30

Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0

H

1.89

D

3.19

A

4.03

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Boston River

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

07/06

21:30

Defensor Sporting
Boston River

H

1.98

D

3.18

A

3.70

?
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

01/06

18:00

Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1

H

3.04

D

3.06

A

2.29

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

26/05

22:00

Sao Paulo
Boston River
2
0

H

1.31

D

5.36

A

8.72

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

23/05

18:00

Cerro Largo
Boston River
3
0

H

2.31

D

3.08

A

2.99

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

20/05

22:00

Boston River
O'Higgins
3
2

H

3.98

D

3.23

A

1.97

W
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

16/05

15:00

Boston River
Cerro
4
1

H

2.05

D

3.06

A

3.59

W
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

11/05

20:00

Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
2
1

H

1.74

D

3.44

A

4.39

L
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.44 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Alexander Machado

-
-

26

Brian Montenegro

-
-

Midfielders

6

Mauricio Amaro

-
-

5

Germán Barrios

-
-

24

Lucas De los Santos

-
-

8

Nicolás Wunsch

-
-

Defenders

11

Lucas Agazzi

-
-

14

Juan Sorondo

-
-

3

Guillermo De los Santos

-
-

15

Axel Frugone

-
-

Goalkeepers

12

Kevin Dawson

-
-

Defensor Sporting

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.44 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Alexander Machado

-
-

26

Brian Montenegro

-
-

Midfielders

6

Mauricio Amaro

-
-

5

Germán Barrios

-
-

24

Lucas De los Santos

-
-

8

Nicolás Wunsch

-
-

Defenders

11

Lucas Agazzi

-
-

14

Juan Sorondo

-
-

3

Guillermo De los Santos

-
-

15

Axel Frugone

-
-

Goalkeepers

12

Kevin Dawson

-
-

Boston River

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 5.78 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

8

F. Bonfiglio

-
L

Midfielders

20

M. Hornos

-
H

16

L. Suhr

-
H

26

F. Munoa

-
M

32

Y. Gonzalez

-
M

Defenders

31

J. Acosta

-
H

3

M. Mancebo

-
H

30

M. Gonzalez

-
H

13

I. Fernandez

-
L

17

R. Haller

-
M

Goalkeepers

1

B. Antunez

-
M

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

47%
Overall Form
30%
2
Wins
3
4
Draws
0
4
Losses
7

Rankings

Current Season

11
Primera: Tabla Anual
12
18
Played
18
1.22
Points per Match
1.11
8
Primera: Promedios
11
55
Played
55
1.51
Points per Match
1.36
8
Primera: Torneo Intermedio
6
3
Played
3
0.33
Points per Match
1
8
Primera: Apertura
13
15
Played
15
1.4
Points per Match
1.13

Quality

50%
Team Quality
35%
52%
Avg Opponent Quality
53%

Goals Performance

42%
Goals Performance
31%
0.8
Scored Goals
1.3
1
Conceded Goals
2.2
-0.2
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.9
1.8
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.5

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

-
Expected Goals
Missing Data (10 | 6)
0.76
-
Total Shots
10
-
Shots on Goal
3.25
-
Shots Inside Box
7
-
Shots Outside Box
3
-
Possession
45%
-
Passes %
83%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 10 | Away: 6)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.98

Draw

3.18

Away

3.70

1.97

Home

2.13

3.16

Draw

3.27

3.32

Away

3.70

Max

Home

2.13

Draw

3.27

Away

3.70

%

8%
3%
11%

Min

Home

1.97

Draw

3.16

Away

3.32

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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