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Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Uruguay

Uruguay

Primera División - Apertura

Liverpool Montevideo

W
D
L
L
W
D

vs

08 Jun 2026

22:00 (UTC+0)

Cerro Largo

W
W
L
L
W
L

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.88
-

Draw

3.21
-

Away

4.03
-

1st Half

Home

2.49
-

Draw

2.05
-

Away

4.62
-

2nd Half

Home

2.27
-

Draw

2.33
-

Away

4.11
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Uruguay

Primera División - Apertura

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

67%

50%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

50%

42%

44%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

48%

52%

45%

36%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

47%

43%

60%

36%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

52%

45%

44%

41%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Uruguay

Primera División - Apertura

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.33
1
0.67

Scored

Conceded

1.33
0.83

Difference

+0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.17
1.17
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.67
0.83

Difference

+0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.38
1.12
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1

Difference

+0.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

0
1.2
1.2

Scored

Conceded

1.15
1.15

Difference

0

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.11
1.22
1.11

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.11

Difference

+0.06

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Uruguay

Primera División - Apertura

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.33
1
0.67

Scored

Conceded

1.33
0.83

Difference

+0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.17
1.17
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.67
0.83

Difference

+0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.38
1.12
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1

Difference

+0.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

0
1.2
1.2

Scored

Conceded

1.15
1.15

Difference

0

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.11
1.22
1.11

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.11

Difference

+0.06

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Uruguay

Primera División - Apertura

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

67%

50%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

50%

42%

44%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

48%

52%

45%

36%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

47%

43%

60%

36%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

52%

45%

44%

41%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(50%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Liverpool Montevideo

Cerro Largo

All Matches

26 Matches

(62%)

16

Wins

Draws: 4

6

(23%)

16

(62%)

4

(15%)

6

(23%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.58
1.04

Scored

Conceded

1.04
1.58

Liverpool Montevideo

Cerro Largo

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

01 Mar 26

Liverpool Montevideo

2
0

Cerro Largo

3mo ago

Uruguay | Primera División - Clausura

07 Nov 25

Cerro Largo

2
0

Liverpool Montevideo

7mo ago

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

07 Jun 25

Liverpool Montevideo

2
1

Cerro Largo

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Away

0:1

01/06

02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Home

?

08/06

09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06
20/06
21/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(50%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Liverpool Montevideo

Cerro Largo

All Matches

26 Matches

(62%)

16

Wins

Draws: 4

6

(23%)

16

(62%)

4

(15%)

6

(23%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.58
1.04

Scored

Conceded

1.04
1.58

Liverpool Montevideo

Cerro Largo

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

01 Mar 26

Liverpool Montevideo

2
0

Cerro Largo

3mo ago

Uruguay | Primera División - Clausura

07 Nov 25

Cerro Largo

2
0

Liverpool Montevideo

7mo ago

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

07 Jun 25

Liverpool Montevideo

2
1

Cerro Largo

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Away

0:1

01/06

02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Home

?

08/06

09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06
20/06
21/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Liverpool Montevideo

Cerro Largo

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

08/06

22:00

Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo

H

1.88

D

3.21

A

4.03

?
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

01/06

18:00

Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1

H

3.04

D

3.06

A

2.29

W
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

22/05

22:30

Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0

H

2.83

D

2.93

A

2.53

D
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

16/05

21:30

Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1

H

1.81

D

3.31

A

4.25

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

08/05

22:30

Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0

H

3.32

D

3.18

A

2.10

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

02/05

21:30

Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0

H

2.19

D

3.01

A

3.29

W
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

25/04

15:00

Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1

H

3.19

D

3.22

A

2.12

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Liverpool Montevideo

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

08/06

22:00

Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo

H

1.88

D

3.21

A

4.03

?
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

01/06

18:00

Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1

H

3.04

D

3.06

A

2.29

W
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

22/05

22:30

Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0

H

2.83

D

2.93

A

2.53

D
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

16/05

21:30

Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1

H

1.81

D

3.31

A

4.25

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

08/05

22:30

Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0

H

3.32

D

3.18

A

2.10

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

02/05

21:30

Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0

H

2.19

D

3.01

A

3.29

W
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

25/04

15:00

Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1

H

3.19

D

3.22

A

2.12

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Cerro Largo

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

08/06

22:00

Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo

H

1.88

D

3.21

A

4.03

?
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

29/05

22:30

Cerro Largo
Cerro
2
0

H

2.15

D

2.98

A

3.44

W
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

23/05

18:00

Cerro Largo
Boston River
3
0

H

2.31

D

3.08

A

2.99

W
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

17/05

18:00

Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0

H

1.78

D

3.19

A

4.64

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

11/05

23:30

Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
3

H

4.18

D

3.35

A

1.80

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

03/05

12:30

Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1

H

2.59

D

2.98

A

2.68

W
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

26/04

18:30

Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
0
1

H

3.67

D

3.06

A

2.02

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

R. M. Degregorio

-
-

31

F. Barcelo

-
-

7

F. Martinez

-
-

Midfielders

24

K. Amaro

-
-

5

N. Garayalde

-
-

16

L. Acosta

-
-

Defenders

3

S. Strasorier

-
-

15

S. Laquidain

-
-

23

E. Castillo

-
-

27

D. Romero

-
-

Goalkeepers

1

M. Bernatene

-
-

Liverpool Montevideo

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

R. M. Degregorio

-
-

31

F. Barcelo

-
-

7

F. Martinez

-
-

Midfielders

24

K. Amaro

-
-

5

N. Garayalde

-
-

16

L. Acosta

-
-

Defenders

3

S. Strasorier

-
-

15

S. Laquidain

-
-

23

E. Castillo

-
-

27

D. Romero

-
-

Goalkeepers

1

M. Bernatene

-
-

Cerro Largo

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.22 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Tiziano Correa

-
-

Midfielders

8

Mario García

-
-

15

Sebastián Assis

-
-

5

Santiago Marcel

-
-

11

Maximiliano Añasco

-
-

7

Gustavo Viera

-
-

Defenders

17

Alexander Hernandez

-
-

14

Lucas Correa

-
-

16

Matías Fracchia

-
-

20

Santiago Franca

-
-

Goalkeepers

12

Pedro Gonzalez

-
-

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

50%
Overall Form
52%
3
Wins
4
3
Draws
2
4
Losses
4

Rankings

Current Season

9
Primera: Tabla Anual
10
18
Played
18
1.33
Points per Match
1.28
5
Primera: Promedios
12
55
Played
55
1.62
Points per Match
1.31
5
Primera: Torneo Intermedio
2
3
Played
3
1.33
Points per Match
2
9
Primera: Apertura
12
15
Played
15
1.33
Points per Match
1.13

Quality

53%
Team Quality
51%
52%
Avg Opponent Quality
50%

Goals Performance

46%
Goals Performance
51%
1.2
Scored Goals
1.3
1.2
Conceded Goals
0.9
0
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.4
2.4
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.2

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

No Statistics Available

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.88

Draw

3.21

Away

4.03

1.81

Home

1.88

3.19

Draw

3.28

4.03

Away

4.31

Max

Home

1.88

Draw

3.28

Away

4.31

%

4%
3%
7%

Min

Home

1.81

Draw

3.19

Away

4.03

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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