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Balanced
Jun 3, 2026, 06:02 PM
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The state of Santa Catarina takes center stage as Avai and Chapecoense-sc clash in the high-stakes first leg of the Copa Sul-Sudeste final. With silverware on the line, Avai looks to leverage home advantage against a Chapecoense-sc side grappling with travel fatigue and a congested schedule.
Home Motivation
High
Avai's motivation is high as they are playing in the final of the Copa Sul-Sudeste, with the opportunity to win a trophy.
Away Motivation
High
Chapecoense-sc has high motivation as they are participating in the Copa Sul-Sudeste final, with a chance to secure the championship.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.93
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.56
Avai is trending higher offensively in recent matches compared to the visitors.
1.13
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.89
Chapecoense-sc remains defensively resilient on a recent-form basis, conceding fewer than one goal per game.
30%
Win rate %
Home/Away split
20%
Avai's home win rate is higher than Chapecoense-sc's win rate in their last 10 away matches.
50%
Clean sheet %
Home/Away split
20%
Avai has kept a clean sheet in half of their last 10 home games, while Chapecoense-sc struggles to keep opponents out away.
1.3
Points Per Game
Home/Away split
0.8
Avai collects significantly more points at home than Chapecoense-sc manages on their travels.
50%
BTTS %
Last 10 matches
70%
Chapecoense-sc matches are more likely to see both teams find the net in recent overall form.
Form & Streaks
Avai has secured 3 wins and 4 draws in their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
Chapecoense-sc has lost 6 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
Chapecoense-sc has seen both teams score in 70% of their last 10 matches overall.
Tactical Overview
Avai enters this final first leg following a mixed run at home, including a 1-2 loss to Criciuma but a dominant 3-0 cup win over Volta Redonda in late May. They have maintained a clean sheet in 50% of their last 10 matches at home, a defensive solidity that will be vital against a Chapecoense-sc attack featuring Yannick Bolasie. The visitors are struggling significantly on the road, losing 6 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions, including a narrow 0-1 defeat to Palmeiras on May 31. With Chapecoense-sc facing schedule congestion and only 3 days of rest compared to Avai's 4, fatigue could impact the latter stages of the match. Avai's creative core, led by Luiz Henrique and Daniel Penha, is trending at a recent-form average of 1.93 goals scored per game, which will test Anderson in the visitors' goal. While Chapecoense-sc won the most recent meeting 2-1 a month ago, their recent away-form PPG of 0.8 suggests Avai holds the tactical edge in this opening leg.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Avai will likely rely on goalkeeper Léo Aragão for his critical saves and command of the defense. Midfielder Luiz Henrique is expected to be central to their creative play, driving attacks from the midfield. In defense, Douglas Teixeira will be important for containing the opposition's forwards.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
Avai will likely rely on goalkeeper Léo Aragão for his critical saves and command of the defense. Midfielder Luiz Henrique is expected to be central to their creative play, driving attacks from the midfield. In defense, Douglas Teixeira will be important for containing the opposition's forwards.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Chapecoense-sc will look to Anderson in goal to provide a solid last line of defense. The midfield presence of Bruno Pacheco will be vital for controlling the flow of the game, while Camilo is an influential player who can impact the attack.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Referee Profile
João Vitor Gobi
22 matches officiated · 2026/27
Cards/G
4.5
Fouls/G
24.9
João Vitor Gobi has officiated 22 matches this season, averaging 4.55 cards per game, which is significantly higher than the typical average. His tendency to award 24.9 fouls per game suggests a strict approach that could disrupt the flow of this final, likely leading to multiple bookings for both sides.
Insider Intel