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Balanced
Jun 6, 2026, 04:01 AM
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The Copa Sul-Sudeste final pits Chapecoense-sc against Avai just three days after their last encounter, which Avai dominated. Now, Chapecoense-sc has the chance to turn the tables on home soil in this cup decider.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.33
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
2.09
Avai's superior goal-scoring prowess on a recent-form basis (2.09 vs 1.33) suggests they have the edge in attack, a critical factor in a final.
1.21
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.96
Avai have a more robust defense on a recent-form basis, conceding fewer goals (0.96) than Chapecoense-sc (1.21), which is vital in a cup final.
1.4
PPG (Points Per Game)
All comps venue
0.9
Chapecoense-sc have a better points-per-game average at home in their last 10 all-competition matches (1.4 PPG) compared to Avai's away record (0.9 PPG).
40%
Loss rate %
All comps venue
50%
Chapecoense-sc's home loss rate of 40% in their last 10 all-competition venue matches is better than Avai's away loss rate of 50%.
80%
BTTS %
All comps venue
70%
Both teams' home and away matches at this venue have frequently seen both teams score, with Chapecoense-sc's home matches showing an 80% BTTS rate, indicating attacking intent.
40%
Win rate %
All comps venue
20%
Chapecoense-sc's 40% win rate at home in their last 10 all-competition venue matches indicates a stronger performance in their own stadium than Avai's 20% away win rate.
Form & Streaks
Chapecoense-sc are on a five-match winless streak at home in all competitions, including two losses in their last two outings.
Avai have secured wins in two of their last three away matches in all competitions.
Chapecoense-sc have lost five of their last ten matches across all competitions.
Avai are on a three-match unbeaten streak in their last three away cup games.
Tactical Overview
Following their recent 3-0 defeat in the away fixture, Chapecoense-sc return home for the Copa Sul-Sudeste final, looking to avenge that loss. While Avai lead the recent H2H with three wins in their last five meetings, Chapecoense-sc boasts a stronger recent-form record at home in all competitions, averaging 1.4 points per game (4W, 2D, 4L) compared to Avai's away record (2W, 3D, 5L for 0.9 PPG). However, Avai's overall form has been superior recently, securing 4 wins to Chapecoense-sc's 3 in their last 10 matches across all competitions, and they have a better goals-per-game record on a recent-form basis (2.09 vs 1.33). The absence of key defenders Rafael Thyere and Robert Santos due to injury, alongside Victor Caetano, could leave Chapecoense-sc vulnerable at the back against Avai's more potent attack.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Chapecoense-sc will likely rely on Anderson in goal for stability. In defense, João Paulo and Bruno Pacheco are expected to play crucial roles. Midfielder Camilo will be important for their creative play, while Ênio and Yannick Bolasie will be key figures in attack. The absence of players like Thyere and Robert will impact their defensive and offensive capabilities respectively.
Absences
Rafael Thyere
thigh injury
Robert Santos
cruciate ligament injury
Victor Caetano
undisclosed injury
Home
Key Players
Chapecoense-sc will likely rely on Anderson in goal for stability. In defense, João Paulo and Bruno Pacheco are expected to play crucial roles. Midfielder Camilo will be important for their creative play, while Ênio and Yannick Bolasie will be key figures in attack. The absence of players like Thyere and Robert will impact their defensive and offensive capabilities respectively.
Absences
Rafael Thyere
thigh injury
Robert Santos
cruciate ligament injury
Victor Caetano
undisclosed injury
Away
Key Players
For Avai, Léo Aragão is expected to start in goal. Guilherme Vargas will be a key presence in defense, while midfielders Luiz Henrique, Thayllon, and Zé Ricardo will be crucial for controlling the game and creating chances. Daniel Penha is also a significant player in the midfield who can influence the match's outcome.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel