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Game Intelligence
Home Favored
Jun 3, 2026, 12:02 PM
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Centenary celebrations in Łomża meet high-stakes promotion pressure as Łomża hosts Górnik Polkowice in a do-or-die semi-final. The hosts are buoyed by recent off-pitch license approval, while the visitors rely on veteran experience to salvage a season that narrowly missed direct promotion.
Home Motivation
High
Łomża has maximum motivation as they are in a single-leg promotion play-off semi-final on home turf during their centenary year.
Away Motivation
High
Górnik Polkowice is highly motivated to secure promotion and reverse their recent downward trend of consecutive relegations.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.84
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.50
Łomża is significantly tighter at the back on a recent-form basis, conceding nearly half as many goals as the visitors.
50%
Clean sheet %
Last 10 matches
30%
Łomża has kept a clean sheet in half of their last 10 matches, showcasing a defensive reliability Polkowice lacks.
70%
Win rate %
Last 10 matches
60%
The hosts have secured one more victory than the visitors over their last 10 competitive fixtures.
2.25
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.92
Łomża is trending at over two goals per game in recent form, outperforming the visitors' output.
2.2
Points Per Game
Last 10 matches
2.0
Łomża has maintained a slightly higher points return in their last 10 matches compared to Górnik Polkowice.
Form & Streaks
Łomża has been dominant recently, recording 7W, 1D, and 2L in their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Górnik Polkowice has struggled for consistency away from home, losing 4 of their last 10 away fixtures (5W, 1D, 4L).
Łomża remains highly resilient at the Stadion Miejski, winning 6 of their last 10 home matches (6W, 2D, 2L).
Tactical Overview
Łomża manager Maciej Tarnogrodzki has built a defensive juggernaut that has kept clean sheets in 50% of their last 10 matches, trending at only 0.84 goals conceded per game on a recent-form basis. This stability was on full display in recent home shutouts, including a 5-0 dismantling of Bełchatów and a 3-0 win over Legia Warszawa II. In contrast, Górnik Polkowice has shown extreme volatility, following a 7-0 away win with a bruising 6-0 loss to Górnik Zabrze II in their regular season finale. The visitors will look to Rymaniak and Szuszkiewicz for leadership, but they face a Łomża side that has won 7 of their last 10 across all competitions. The hosts' ability to limit high-quality chances-conceding significantly fewer goals than the 1.50 recent-form average of Górnik Polkowice-gives them a distinct tactical floor in this single-leg knockout.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
No specific key player information is available from the provided search results.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
No specific key player information is available from the provided search results.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
No specific key player information is available from the provided search results.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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