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Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Japan

Japan

J2/J3 League

Sagan Tosu

L
D
D
W
W
D

06 Jun 2026

10:00 (UTC+0)

(0
-
0)

1

-

0

FT

Shonan Bellmare

D
L
L
L
W
L

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.08
-

Draw

3.09
-

Away

3.49
-

1st Half

Home

2.70
-

Draw

2.00
-

Away

4.16
-

2nd Half

Home

2.51
-

Draw

2.31
-

Away

3.66
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Japan

J2/J3 League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

17%

67%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

58%

25%

58%

72%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

72%

38%

50%

76%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

57%

57%

60%

70%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

59%

58%

56%

77%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Japan

J2/J3 League

Good
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.5
1.67
1.17

Scored

Conceded

0.67
1.5

Difference

-0.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.83
1.67
0.83

Scored

Conceded

0.67
1.5

Difference

-0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.75
1.38
0.62

Scored

Conceded

0.88
1.25

Difference

-0.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.35
1.3
0.95

Scored

Conceded

1.35
1.05

Difference

+0.3

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.42
1.32
0.89

Scored

Conceded

1.37
1.05

Difference

+0.32

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Japan

J2/J3 League

Good
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.5
1.67
1.17

Scored

Conceded

0.67
1.5

Difference

-0.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.83
1.67
0.83

Scored

Conceded

0.67
1.5

Difference

-0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.75
1.38
0.62

Scored

Conceded

0.88
1.25

Difference

-0.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.35
1.3
0.95

Scored

Conceded

1.35
1.05

Difference

+0.3

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.42
1.32
0.89

Scored

Conceded

1.37
1.05

Difference

+0.32

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Japan

J2/J3 League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

17%

67%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

58%

25%

58%

72%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

72%

38%

50%

76%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

57%

57%

60%

70%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

59%

58%

56%

77%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

23 Matches

(22%)

5

Wins

Draws: 9

9

(39%)

5

(22%)

9

(39%)

9

(39%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.09
1.3

Scored

Conceded

1.3
1.09

Sagan Tosu

Shonan Bellmare

Japan | J1 League

31 Aug 24

Sagan Tosu

1
2

Shonan Bellmare

2y ago

Japan | J1 League

06 May 24

Shonan Bellmare

2
1

Sagan Tosu

2y ago

Japan | J1 League

24 Jun 23

Shonan Bellmare

0
6

Sagan Tosu

3y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05

Home

2:2

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

3:1

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:0

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

23 Matches

(22%)

5

Wins

Draws: 9

9

(39%)

5

(22%)

9

(39%)

9

(39%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.09
1.3

Scored

Conceded

1.3
1.09

Sagan Tosu

Shonan Bellmare

Japan | J1 League

31 Aug 24

Sagan Tosu

1
2

Shonan Bellmare

2y ago

Japan | J1 League

06 May 24

Shonan Bellmare

2
1

Sagan Tosu

2y ago

Japan | J1 League

24 Jun 23

Shonan Bellmare

0
6

Sagan Tosu

3y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05

Home

2:2

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

3:1

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:0

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Sagan Tosu

Shonan Bellmare

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

06/06

10:00

Sagan Tosu
Shonan Bellmare
1
0

H

2.08

D

3.09

A

3.49

W
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

30/05

05:00

Tokushima Vortis
Sagan Tosu
3
1
L
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

PN

23/05

05:00

Sagan Tosu
FC Ryukyu
2
2

H

1.51

D

3.94

A

5.31

D
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

PN

16/05

05:00

Sagan Tosu
Renofa Yamaguchi
1
1

H

1.96

D

3.16

A

3.64

D
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

10/05

05:00

Oita Trinita
Sagan Tosu
0
1

H

2.58

D

2.98

A

2.65

W
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

06/05

05:00

Sagan Tosu
Gainare Tottori
4
0

H

2.04

D

3.27

A

3.29

W
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

PN

02/05

05:00

Sagan Tosu
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1
1

H

2.38

D

3.04

A

2.84

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Sagan Tosu

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

06/06

10:00

Sagan Tosu
Shonan Bellmare
1
0

H

2.08

D

3.09

A

3.49

W
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

30/05

05:00

Tokushima Vortis
Sagan Tosu
3
1
L
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

PN

23/05

05:00

Sagan Tosu
FC Ryukyu
2
2

H

1.51

D

3.94

A

5.31

D
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

PN

16/05

05:00

Sagan Tosu
Renofa Yamaguchi
1
1

H

1.96

D

3.16

A

3.64

D
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

10/05

05:00

Oita Trinita
Sagan Tosu
0
1

H

2.58

D

2.98

A

2.65

W
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

06/05

05:00

Sagan Tosu
Gainare Tottori
4
0

H

2.04

D

3.27

A

3.29

W
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

PN

02/05

05:00

Sagan Tosu
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1
1

H

2.38

D

3.04

A

2.84

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Shonan Bellmare

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

06/06

10:00

Sagan Tosu
Shonan Bellmare
1
0

H

2.08

D

3.09

A

3.49

L
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

AET

30/05

05:00

Shonan Bellmare
Iwaki
1
2
L
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

24/05

05:00

Montedio Yamagata
Shonan Bellmare
3
1

H

3.07

D

3.26

A

2.14

L
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

16/05

05:00

Shonan Bellmare
Vegalta Sendai
0
2

H

2.71

D

3.19

A

2.38

L
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

10/05

05:00

Shonan Bellmare
Yokohama FC
0
1

H

2.49

D

3.18

A

2.60

L
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

06/05

05:00

Vanraure Hachinohe
Shonan Bellmare
0
1

H

2.85

D

2.97

A

2.45

W
Japan

Japan | J2/J3 League

FT

02/05

05:00

Shonan Bellmare
Tochigi City
1
2

H

1.73

D

3.56

A

4.13

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.33 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Sagan Tosu

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.33 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Shonan Bellmare

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.78 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

72%
Overall Form
36%
5
Wins
2
4
Draws
3
1
Losses
5

Rankings

Current Season

3
West B
3
18
Played
18
1.78
Points per Match
1.72

Quality

65%
Team Quality
47%
51%
Avg Opponent Quality
50%

Goals Performance

61%
Goals Performance
37%
1.6
Scored Goals
0.8
0.8
Conceded Goals
1.3
0.8
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.5
2.4
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.1

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

No Statistics Available

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.08

Draw

3.09

Away

3.49

2.03

Home

2.13

3.09

Draw

3.27

3.12

Away

3.49

Max

Home

2.13

Draw

3.27

Away

3.49

%

5%
6%
12%

Min

Home

2.03

Draw

3.09

Away

3.12

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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