
DWLLD
3-2
Finished
HT1-0

DWWDD
Neutral📍 UD Almeria Stadium, Almeria


Asian Handicap
Walk the full handicap ladder with cover probabilities and fair vs market odds on every line.
Almeria
43 Games
Castellón
43 Games
Almeria
20 Games · At home
Castellón
20 Games · Away
Avg margin
overall
0.0
Almeria
Avg margin
overall
+0.5
Castellón
Avg xG-for minus xG-against per game — the deserve-rate version of margin.
How spread out a team's margins are. ≤1.5 reliable, ≤2.2 moderate, >2.2 swing risk.
Almeria is a 0.0 margin engine with moderate variance — covers but volatile.
Castellón is a +0.5 margin engine with low variance — covers consistently.
Historical Probability
Compare implied odds against real historical win rates to spot where the market misprices outcomes.