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Kenya vs Lesotho - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

World

World

Friendlies

Kenya

D
W
D
L
L
W

vs

07 Jun 2026

13:00 (UTC+0)

Lesotho

D
W
D
L
D
W

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.85
-

Draw

3.35
-

Away

4.16
-

1st Half

Home

2.48
-

Draw

2.00
-

Away

4.67
-

2nd Half

Home

2.25
-

Draw

2.20
-

Away

4.65
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

72%

72%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

61%

67%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

57%

36%

60%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

64%

42%

55%

36%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

72%

50%

50%

-

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Good
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-1.17
1
2.17

Scored

Conceded

0.67
0.5

Difference

+0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.83
1.67
0.83

Scored

Conceded

0.83
0.83

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

0
1.12
1.12

Scored

Conceded

0.38
1.75

Difference

-1.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.05
1.35
1.3

Scored

Conceded

0.5
1.6

Difference

-1.1

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1
1.67
0.67

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Good
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-1.17
1
2.17

Scored

Conceded

0.67
0.5

Difference

+0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.83
1.67
0.83

Scored

Conceded

0.83
0.83

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

0
1.12
1.12

Scored

Conceded

0.38
1.75

Difference

-1.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.05
1.35
1.3

Scored

Conceded

0.5
1.6

Difference

-1.1

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1
1.67
0.67

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

72%

72%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

61%

67%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

57%

36%

60%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

64%

42%

55%

36%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

72%

50%

50%

-

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06

Away

Cancelled

03/06

Away

1:1

04/06

05/06

Away

Cancelled

06/06

Home

?

07/06

08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06

Away

Cancelled

03/06

Away

1:1

04/06

05/06

Away

Cancelled

06/06

Home

?

07/06

08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Kenya

Lesotho

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

07/06

13:00

Kenya
Lesotho

H

1.85

D

3.35

A

4.16

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

04/06

13:00

Lesotho
Kenya
1
1
D
World

World | FIFA Series

FT

30/03

14:00

Grenada
Kenya
0
3

H

13.65

D

6.48

A

1.16

W
World

World | FIFA Series

PN

27/03

16:00

Kenya
Estonia
1
1

H

2.21

D

3.04

A

3.20

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

18/11

15:00

Senegal
Kenya
8
0
L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

14/10

19:00

Ivory Coast
Kenya
3
0

H

1.10

D

7.57

A

26.94

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

09/10

13:00

Burundi
Kenya
0
1

H

2.55

D

2.95

A

2.73

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Kenya

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

07/06

13:00

Kenya
Lesotho

H

1.85

D

3.35

A

4.16

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

04/06

13:00

Lesotho
Kenya
1
1
D
World

World | FIFA Series

FT

30/03

14:00

Grenada
Kenya
0
3

H

13.65

D

6.48

A

1.16

W
World

World | FIFA Series

PN

27/03

16:00

Kenya
Estonia
1
1

H

2.21

D

3.04

A

3.20

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

18/11

15:00

Senegal
Kenya
8
0
L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

14/10

19:00

Ivory Coast
Kenya
3
0

H

1.10

D

7.57

A

26.94

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

09/10

13:00

Burundi
Kenya
0
1

H

2.55

D

2.95

A

2.73

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lesotho

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

07/06

13:00

Kenya
Lesotho

H

1.85

D

3.35

A

4.16

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

04/06

13:00

Lesotho
Kenya
1
1
D
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

FT

29/03

15:00

Lesotho
Seychelles
2
1

H

1.35

D

4.36

A

8.18

W
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

FT

26/03

14:00

Seychelles
Lesotho
0
0

H

6.83

D

4.26

A

1.39

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

18/11

14:00

Lesotho
Malawi
0
1

H

3.02

D

2.81

A

2.49

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

15/11

14:00

Lesotho
Malawi
0
0
D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

13/10

16:00

Lesotho
Zimbabwe
1
0

H

3.95

D

2.91

A

2.03

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.44 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

24

Ben Omondi

-
-

9

Lawrence Ouma

-
-

7

Mohammed Bajaber

-
-

Midfielders

22

Zech Obiero

-
-

6

Richard Odada

-
-

19

Clarke Oduor

-
-

Defenders

2

Frank Odhiambo

-
-

4

Sylvester Owino

-
-

16

Rooney Onyango

-
-

21

Stanley Wilson

-
-

Goalkeepers

1

Farouk Shikalo

-
-

Kenya

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.44 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

24

Ben Omondi

-
-

9

Lawrence Ouma

-
-

7

Mohammed Bajaber

-
-

Midfielders

22

Zech Obiero

-
-

6

Richard Odada

-
-

19

Clarke Oduor

-
-

Defenders

2

Frank Odhiambo

-
-

4

Sylvester Owino

-
-

16

Rooney Onyango

-
-

21

Stanley Wilson

-
-

Goalkeepers

1

Farouk Shikalo

-
-

Lesotho

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.5 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

7

Teboho Letsema

-
-

9

Sera Motebang

-
L

Midfielders

3

Katleho Koeana

-
-

10

Lehlohonolo Fothoane

-
L

22

Tumelo Makha

-
-

Defenders

2

Itumeleng Falene

-
-

20

Thabo Makhele

-
L

21

Rethabile Mokokoane

-
H

Goalkeepers

1

Leluma Mofoka

-
-

Note: Missing historical data for 3 matches

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

52%
Overall Form
34%
4
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
5

Quality

55%
Team Quality
37%
45%
Avg Opponent Quality
42%

Goals Performance

50%
Goals Performance
33%
1.4
Scored Goals
0.5
1.7
Conceded Goals
1.5
-0.3
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-1
3.1
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

-
Expected Goals
Missing Data (10 | 10)
-
-
Total Shots
8
-
Shots on Goal
2
-
Shots Inside Box
2
-
Shots Outside Box
6
-
Possession
42%
-
Passes %
75%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 10 | Away: 9)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.85

Draw

3.35

Away

4.16

1.85

Home

1.85

3.35

Draw

3.35

4.16

Away

4.16

Max

Home

1.85

Draw

3.35

Away

4.16

%

0%
0%
0%

Min

Home

1.85

Draw

3.35

Away

4.16

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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