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USA vs Germany | Friendlies - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

World

World

Friendlies

USA

W
L
L
W
W
W

06 Jun 2026

18:30 (UTC+0)

(1
-
1)

1

-

2

FT

Germany

W
W
W
W
W
W

TOP PICKS

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

100%

33%

100%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

67%

100%

67%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

55%

80%

55%

70%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

55%

77%

60%

68%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

33%

100%

33%

100%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

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Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Home

3:2

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:2

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06

Home

?

13/06

14/06

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Excellent
Attack
Excellent
Poor
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.33
2.33
2

Scored

Conceded

3.17
0.67

Difference

+2.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.33
2.33
2

Scored

Conceded

3.17
0.67

Difference

+2.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.12
1.62
1.75

Scored

Conceded

2.5
0.88

Difference

+1.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.25
1.75
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2.55
1

Difference

+1.55

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-1.33
1.67
3

Scored

Conceded

3.33
1.33

Difference

+2

Total Goals Momentum

Epic

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

USA

Germany

World | World Cup

26 Jun 14

USA

0
1

Germany

12y ago

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Excellent
Attack
Excellent
Poor
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.33
2.33
2

Scored

Conceded

3.17
0.67

Difference

+2.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.33
2.33
2

Scored

Conceded

3.17
0.67

Difference

+2.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.12
1.62
1.75

Scored

Conceded

2.5
0.88

Difference

+1.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.25
1.75
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2.55
1

Difference

+1.55

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-1.33
1.67
3

Scored

Conceded

3.33
1.33

Difference

+2

Total Goals Momentum

Epic

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

USA

Germany

World | World Cup

26 Jun 14

USA

0
1

Germany

12y ago

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

100%

33%

100%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

67%

100%

67%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

55%

80%

55%

70%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

55%

77%

60%

68%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

33%

100%

33%

100%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Home

3:2

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:2

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06

Home

?

13/06

14/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

USA

Germany

Goals History

USA

Germany

Overall Form

55%
Overall Form
80%
5
Wins
8
1
Draws
0
4
Losses
2

Quality

55%
Team Quality
75%
70%
Avg Opponent Quality
53%

Goals Performance

48%
Goals Performance
69%
1.8
Scored Goals
2.6
1.7
Conceded Goals
0.9
0.1
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
1.7
3.5
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.5

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

06/06

18:30

USA
Germany
1
2

H

4.73

D

4.24

A

1.62

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/05

19:30

USA
Senegal
3
2

H

2.70

D

3.22

A

2.55

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

23:00

USA
Portugal
0
2

H

4.92

D

4.24

A

1.58

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

28/03

19:30

USA
Belgium
2
5

H

2.93

D

3.66

A

2.21

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

19/11

00:00

USA
Uruguay
5
1

H

3.34

D

3.07

A

2.23

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

15/11

22:00

USA
Paraguay
2
1

H

2.34

D

3.14

A

3.07

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

15/10

01:00

USA
Australia
2
1

H

1.69

D

3.74

A

4.64

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

USA

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

06/06

18:30

USA
Germany
1
2

H

4.73

D

4.24

A

1.62

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/05

19:30

USA
Senegal
3
2

H

2.70

D

3.22

A

2.55

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

23:00

USA
Portugal
0
2

H

4.92

D

4.24

A

1.58

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

28/03

19:30

USA
Belgium
2
5

H

2.93

D

3.66

A

2.21

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

19/11

00:00

USA
Uruguay
5
1

H

3.34

D

3.07

A

2.23

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

15/11

22:00

USA
Paraguay
2
1

H

2.34

D

3.14

A

3.07

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

15/10

01:00

USA
Australia
2
1

H

1.69

D

3.74

A

4.64

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Germany

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

06/06

18:30

USA
Germany
1
2

H

4.73

D

4.24

A

1.62

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/05

18:45

Germany
Finland
4
0

H

1.11

D

9.53

A

17.44

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

30/03

18:45

Germany
Ghana
2
1

H

1.15

D

8.07

A

14.04

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

27/03

19:45

Switzerland
Germany
3
4

H

3.50

D

3.58

A

1.98

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

17/11

19:45

Germany
Slovakia
6
0

H

1.26

D

5.94

A

11.52

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/11

19:45

Luxembourg
Germany
0
2

H

25.06

D

10.32

A

1.10

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

13/10

18:45

Northern Ireland
Germany
0
1

H

8.33

D

5.13

A

1.36

W
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

-
Expected Goals
Missing Data (10 | 8)
2.26
9.9
Total Shots
18.9
3.9
Shots on Goal
7
6.8
Shots Inside Box
13.8
3.1
Shots Outside Box
5.1
53%
Possession
68%
85%
Passes %
90%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.89 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

20

Folarin Balogun

6.9
M

Midfielders

17

Malik Tillman

6.9
M

4

Tyler Adams

7
M

2

Sergiño Dest

5.9
M

8

Weston McKennie

6.7
M

10

Christian Pulišić

5.9
M

Defenders

16

Alexander Freeman

6.2
M

12

Miles Robinson

6.3
H

13

Tim Ream

6.2
H

5

Antonee Robinson

7.3
M

Goalkeepers

24

Matthew Freese

7
M

USA

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.89 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

20

Folarin Balogun

6.9
M

Midfielders

17

Malik Tillman

6.9
M

4

Tyler Adams

7
M

2

Sergiño Dest

5.9
M

8

Weston McKennie

6.7
M

10

Christian Pulišić

5.9
M

Defenders

16

Alexander Freeman

6.2
M

12

Miles Robinson

6.3
H

13

Tim Ream

6.2
H

5

Antonee Robinson

7.3
M

Goalkeepers

24

Matthew Freese

7
M

Germany

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.67 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

7

Kai Havertz

8
M

Midfielders

23

Felix Nmecha

6.6
H

5

Aleksandar Pavlović

7
M

19

Leroy Sané

7.3
H

10

Jamal Musiala

6.2
L

17

Florian Wirtz

6.3
L

Defenders

6

Joshua Kimmich

7.2
M

4

Jonathan Tah

6.9
M

15

Nico Schlotterbeck

8
M

18

Nathaniel Brown

6.6
H

Goalkeepers

12

Oliver Baumann

6.3
M

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

4.73

Draw

4.24

Away

1.62

4.73

Home

5.00

4.19

Draw

4.26

1.58

Away

1.62

Max

Home

5.00

Draw

4.26

Away

1.62

%

6%
2%
3%

Min

Home

4.73

Draw

4.19

Away

1.58

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.