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Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors | Copa Argentina - Summary Preview

AI-powered game intelligence with head-to-head stats and data-driven predictions.

Sarmiento Junin

L
W
L
L
W
W

07 Jun 2026

20:00 (UTC+0)

-

PST

Boca Juniors

L
D
D
L
W
L

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Away Favored

Jun 2, 2026, 08:02 PM

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In a Copa Argentina Round of 32 clash, Sarmiento Junin hosts Boca Juniors. This fixture pits a solid home side against a continental giant seeking to re-establish domestic dominance amid a congested schedule.

Home Motivation

Medium

Away Motivation

Medium

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The Evidence

Betting Edge

Key Metrics

Home

Metric

Away

0.86

xG created per game

All comps (EWMA)

1.88

Boca Juniors' recent-form xG creation of 1.88 per game is more than double Sarmiento Junin's 0.86, indicating a significant attacking advantage.

-0.48

xG difference

All comps (EWMA)

0.83

Boca Juniors boast a positive xG difference of 0.83 in recent form, while Sarmiento Junin are negative at -0.48, highlighting Boca Juniors' superior control of game state.

9.21

Total shots per game

All comps (EWMA)

14.71

Boca Juniors' volume of attacking play is far higher, registering 14.71 shots per game in recent form compared to Sarmiento Junin's 9.21.

5.06

Shots on target against

All comps (EWMA)

2.80

Sarmiento Junin are allowing opponents to hit the target 5.06 times per game in recent form, significantly more than Boca Juniors' 2.80, suggesting defensive vulnerability.

13.79

Fouls per game

All comps (EWMA)

9.50

Sarmiento Junin's tendency to commit 13.79 fouls per game in recent form suggests a more physical, potentially disruptive approach compared to Boca Juniors' 9.50.

3.50

Corners won per game

All comps (EWMA)

5.62

Boca Juniors' ability to win 5.62 corners per game in recent form, well above Sarmiento Junin's 3.50, indicates greater attacking pressure and territorial advantage.

Form & Streaks

Sarmiento Junin have won 7 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions, averaging 2.2 points per game.

Boca Juniors have won 6 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.

Sarmiento Junin have lost 4 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.

Tactical Overview

This Copa Argentina encounter sees Boca Juniors, with their superior Elo rating of 1739 to Sarmiento Junin's 1533, entering as clear favorites. Despite Sarmiento Junin's strong home form, securing 7 wins in their last 10 at home in all comps (2.2 PPG), their overall recent form is mixed (4L in last 10). Boca Juniors, while struggling for consistency at home recently (1W 2D 2L), have shown an ability to win on the road (6W in last 10 away in all comps, 1.9 PPG). Boca Juniors demonstrate a significant xG advantage on a recent-form basis, creating 1.88 xG per game compared to Sarmiento Junin's 0.86. Their last competitive meeting saw Boca Juniors take a 2-0 victory.

Match Context

Lineup Updates

Based on reports

Key Players

Sarmiento Junín will rely on the defensive solidity of Juan Manuel Insaurralde and Agustín Seyral. In midfield, Cristian Zabala is expected to be a key player, while up front, Junior Marabel will be crucial for their attacking efforts.

Absences

Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.

Home

Key Players

Sarmiento Junín will rely on the defensive solidity of Juan Manuel Insaurralde and Agustín Seyral. In midfield, Cristian Zabala is expected to be a key player, while up front, Junior Marabel will be crucial for their attacking efforts.

Absences

Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.

Away

Key Players

Boca Juniors' midfield will likely be anchored by Leandro Paredes and Tomás Aranda, who are both important for ball distribution and control. In defense, Lautaro Di Lollo and Lautaro Blanco are expected to provide stability. Upfront, Miguel Merentiel will be looking to impact the game with his offensive contributions.

Absences

Edinson Cavani

back injury, potentially requiring surgery

OUT

Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.

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