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Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Argentina

Argentina

Copa Argentina

Sarmiento Junin

L
W
L
L
W
W

07 Jun 2026

20:00 (UTC+0)

-

PST

Boca Juniors

L
D
D
L
W
L

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

5.30
-

Draw

3.46
-

Away

1.65
-

1st Half

Home

5.85
-

Draw

2.00
-

Away

2.28
-

2nd Half

Home

5.18
-

Draw

2.38
-

Away

2.02
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

33%

67%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

50%

33%

75%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

55%

55%

75%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

49%

66%

50%

63%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

44%

64%

72%

60%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina

Poor
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
1
1.5

Scored

Conceded

0.67
1

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1
0.33

Scored

Conceded

1.33
0.67

Difference

+0.67

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.12
0.88
0.75

Scored

Conceded

1.12
0.75

Difference

+0.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.25
0.9
1.15

Scored

Conceded

1.3
0.55

Difference

+0.75

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.35
0.82
1.18

Scored

Conceded

1.27
0.62

Difference

+0.65

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina

Poor
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
1
1.5

Scored

Conceded

0.67
1

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1
0.33

Scored

Conceded

1.33
0.67

Difference

+0.67

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.12
0.88
0.75

Scored

Conceded

1.12
0.75

Difference

+0.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.25
0.9
1.15

Scored

Conceded

1.3
0.55

Difference

+0.75

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.35
0.82
1.18

Scored

Conceded

1.27
0.62

Difference

+0.65

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

33%

67%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

50%

33%

75%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

55%

55%

75%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

49%

66%

50%

63%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

44%

64%

72%

60%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

9 Matches

(11%)

1

Wins

Draws: 2

6

(67%)

1

(11%)

2

(22%)

6

(67%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.33
0.33

Sarmiento Junin

Boca Juniors

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

11 Nov 24

Sarmiento Junin

0
2

Boca Juniors

2y ago

Argentina | Copa de la Liga Profesional

01 Feb 24

Boca Juniors

1
1

Sarmiento Junin

2y ago

Argentina | Copa de la Liga Profesional

27 Aug 23

Sarmiento Junin

1
0

Boca Juniors

3y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06

Home

?

07/06

08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

9 Matches

(11%)

1

Wins

Draws: 2

6

(67%)

1

(11%)

2

(22%)

6

(67%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.33
0.33

Sarmiento Junin

Boca Juniors

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

11 Nov 24

Sarmiento Junin

0
2

Boca Juniors

2y ago

Argentina | Copa de la Liga Profesional

01 Feb 24

Boca Juniors

1
1

Sarmiento Junin

2y ago

Argentina | Copa de la Liga Profesional

27 Aug 23

Sarmiento Junin

1
0

Boca Juniors

3y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06

Home

?

07/06

08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Sarmiento Junin

Boca Juniors

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Argentina

Argentina | Copa Argentina

07/06

20:00

Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors

H

5.30

D

3.46

A

1.65

?
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

FT

03/05

19:00

Belgrano Cordoba
Sarmiento Junin
4
0

H

1.83

D

3.15

A

4.95

L
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

FT

25/04

22:15

Sarmiento Junin
Tigre
1
0

H

3.72

D

2.85

A

2.24

W
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

FT

19/04

23:30

Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
2
1

H

1.50

D

3.83

A

7.19

L
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

FT

13/04

19:30

Sarmiento Junin
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2

H

2.50

D

2.84

A

3.15

L
Argentina

Argentina | Copa Argentina

FT

09/04

00:10

Sarmiento Junin
Tristan Suarez
1
0

H

2.07

D

2.97

A

3.82

W
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

FT

02/04

18:00

Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
1
2

H

2.55

D

2.81

A

3.11

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Sarmiento Junin

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Argentina

Argentina | Copa Argentina

07/06

20:00

Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors

H

5.30

D

3.46

A

1.65

?
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

FT

03/05

19:00

Belgrano Cordoba
Sarmiento Junin
4
0

H

1.83

D

3.15

A

4.95

L
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

FT

25/04

22:15

Sarmiento Junin
Tigre
1
0

H

3.72

D

2.85

A

2.24

W
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

FT

19/04

23:30

Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
2
1

H

1.50

D

3.83

A

7.19

L
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

FT

13/04

19:30

Sarmiento Junin
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2

H

2.50

D

2.84

A

3.15

L
Argentina

Argentina | Copa Argentina

FT

09/04

00:10

Sarmiento Junin
Tristan Suarez
1
0

H

2.07

D

2.97

A

3.82

W
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

FT

02/04

18:00

Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
1
2

H

2.55

D

2.81

A

3.11

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Boca Juniors

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Argentina

Argentina | Copa Argentina

07/06

20:00

Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors

H

5.30

D

3.46

A

1.65

?
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

29/05

00:30

Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
0
1

H

1.49

D

4.09

A

6.63

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

20/05

00:30

Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
1
1

H

1.95

D

3.12

A

4.34

D
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

AET

09/05

22:00

Boca Juniors
Huracan
2
3

H

1.94

D

3.00

A

4.61

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

06/05

00:00

Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
1
0

H

4.54

D

3.19

A

1.88

L
Argentina

Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina

FT

02/05

19:15

Central Cordoba de Santiago
Boca Juniors
1
2

H

5.29

D

3.15

A

1.79

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

29/04

00:30

Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0

H

2.46

D

2.89

A

3.19

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.89 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

27

J. Marabel

6.5
L

7

P. Magnin

6.3
H

Midfielders

8

S. Salle

6
M

14

M. Martinez

7
L

15

C. Zabala

6
L

11

J. Gomez

6.2
H

Defenders

29

T. Santamaria

5.7
L

34

A. Seyral

6.9
L

3

L. Suarez

4.7
H

77

N. Pasquini

5.3
M

Goalkeepers

1

J. Burrai

5.6
L

Sarmiento Junin

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.89 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

27

J. Marabel

6.5
L

7

P. Magnin

6.3
H

Midfielders

8

S. Salle

6
M

14

M. Martinez

7
L

15

C. Zabala

6
L

11

J. Gomez

6.2
H

Defenders

29

T. Santamaria

5.7
L

34

A. Seyral

6.9
L

3

L. Suarez

4.7
H

77

N. Pasquini

5.3
M

Goalkeepers

1

J. Burrai

5.6
L

Boca Juniors

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.11 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

7

E. Zeballos

6.9
H

9

M. Gimenez

7.3
M

Midfielders

18

M. Delgado

6.9
M

5

L. Paredes

7
M

21

A. Herrera

7.2
H

36

T. Aranda

7.7
M

Defenders

27

M. Braida

7.3
H

2

L. Di Lollo

7.3
M

26

M. Pellegrino

6.6
H

3

L. Blanco

6.7
M

Goalkeepers

12

L. Brey

6.3
M

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

55%
Overall Form
55%
5
Wins
4
1
Draws
3
4
Losses
3

Quality

52%
Team Quality
60%
54%
Avg Opponent Quality
59%

Goals Performance

46%
Goals Performance
55%
0.9
Scored Goals
1.3
1.1
Conceded Goals
0.7
-0.2
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.6
2
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

-
Expected Goals
Missing Data (10 | 4)
1.79
8.56
Total Shots
15.9
2.78
Shots on Goal
6.4
5.22
Shots Inside Box
10.7
3.33
Shots Outside Box
5.2
44%
Possession
55%
71%
Passes %
79%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 1 | Away: 0)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

5.30

Draw

3.46

Away

1.65

5.20

Home

5.30

3.46

Draw

3.53

1.65

Away

1.65

Max

Home

5.30

Draw

3.53

Away

1.65

%

2%
2%
0%

Min

Home

5.20

Draw

3.46

Away

1.65

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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