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Almeria vs Castellón - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Spain

Spain

Segunda División

Almeria

D
W
L
L
D
W

vs

09 Jun 2026

19:00 (UTC+0)

Castellón

D
W
W
D
D
L

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.28
-

Draw

3.49
-

Away

2.86
-

1st Half

Home

2.80
-

Draw

2.30
-

Away

3.30
-

2nd Half

Home

2.55
-

Draw

2.67
-

Away

3.03
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Spain

Segunda División

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

83%

67%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

55%

61%

83%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

63%

73%

90%

62%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

70%

66%

78%

61%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

64%

64%

76%

58%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Spain

Segunda División

Excellent
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

0
1.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1

Difference

+0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.33
2.67
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.83
1.33

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.25
1.75
2

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.25

Difference

+0.5

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.5
2.05
1.55

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.35

Difference

+0.4

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.42
1.91
1.49

Scored

Conceded

1.65
1.21

Difference

+0.44

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Spain

Segunda División

Excellent
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

0
1.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1

Difference

+0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.33
2.67
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.83
1.33

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.25
1.75
2

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.25

Difference

+0.5

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.5
2.05
1.55

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.35

Difference

+0.4

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.42
1.91
1.49

Scored

Conceded

1.65
1.21

Difference

+0.44

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Spain

Segunda División

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

83%

67%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

55%

61%

83%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

63%

73%

90%

62%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

70%

66%

78%

61%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

64%

64%

76%

58%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

3 Matches

(33%)

1

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.67
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0.67

Almeria

Castellón

All Matches

7 Matches

(43%)

3

Wins

Draws: 1

3

(43%)

3

(43%)

1

(14%)

3

(43%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.43
2

Scored

Conceded

2
1.43

Almeria

Castellón

Spain | Segunda División

06 Jun 26

Castellón

1
1

Almeria

2d ago

Spain | Segunda División

02 Apr 26

Castellón

2
0

Almeria

2mo ago

Spain | Segunda División

26 Oct 25

Almeria

1
0

Castellón

8mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Home

1:0

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Away

1:1

06/06

07/06
08/06

Home

?

09/06

10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06
20/06
21/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

3 Matches

(33%)

1

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.67
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0.67

Almeria

Castellón

All Matches

7 Matches

(43%)

3

Wins

Draws: 1

3

(43%)

3

(43%)

1

(14%)

3

(43%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.43
2

Scored

Conceded

2
1.43

Almeria

Castellón

Spain | Segunda División

06 Jun 26

Castellón

1
1

Almeria

2d ago

Spain | Segunda División

02 Apr 26

Castellón

2
0

Almeria

2mo ago

Spain | Segunda División

26 Oct 25

Almeria

1
0

Castellón

8mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Home

1:0

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Away

1:1

06/06

07/06
08/06

Home

?

09/06

10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06
20/06
21/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Almeria

Castellón

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

09/06

19:00

Almeria
Castellón

H

2.28

D

3.49

A

2.86

?
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

06/06

19:00

Castellón
Almeria
1
1

H

1.82

D

3.79

A

3.98

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

31/05

16:30

Almeria
Valladolid
1
0

H

1.37

D

4.88

A

7.12

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

24/05

16:30

Sporting Gijon
Almeria
3
1

H

3.52

D

3.76

A

1.91

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

16/05

16:30

Almeria
Las Palmas
1
2

H

1.84

D

3.63

A

3.93

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

09/05

14:15

Burgos
Almeria
0
0

H

2.51

D

3.17

A

2.78

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

04/05

18:30

Almeria
Mirandes
4
2

H

1.40

D

4.86

A

6.40

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Almeria

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

09/06

19:00

Almeria
Castellón

H

2.28

D

3.49

A

2.86

?
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

06/06

19:00

Castellón
Almeria
1
1

H

1.82

D

3.79

A

3.98

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

31/05

16:30

Almeria
Valladolid
1
0

H

1.37

D

4.88

A

7.12

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

24/05

16:30

Sporting Gijon
Almeria
3
1

H

3.52

D

3.76

A

1.91

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

16/05

16:30

Almeria
Las Palmas
1
2

H

1.84

D

3.63

A

3.93

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

09/05

14:15

Burgos
Almeria
0
0

H

2.51

D

3.17

A

2.78

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

04/05

18:30

Almeria
Mirandes
4
2

H

1.40

D

4.86

A

6.40

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Castellón

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

09/06

19:00

Almeria
Castellón

H

2.28

D

3.49

A

2.86

?
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

06/06

19:00

Castellón
Almeria
1
1

H

1.82

D

3.79

A

3.98

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

31/05

16:30

Castellón
Eibar
2
1

H

1.52

D

4.39

A

5.16

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

24/05

16:30

Huesca
Castellón
0
1

H

4.56

D

4.01

A

1.65

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

15/05

18:30

Castellón
Cadiz
1
1

H

1.24

D

5.99

A

10.11

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

09/05

12:00

AD Ceuta FC
Castellón
1
1

H

4.80

D

4.28

A

1.59

D
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

02/05

16:30

Castellón
Cordoba
1
2

H

1.42

D

4.66

A

6.05

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.22 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

24

M. de la Fuente

6.2
L

Midfielders

29

S. Dzodic

7.3
L

17

D. Lopy

7.5
L

23

A. Embarba

7.5
L

11

S. Arribas

7.3
L

7

J. Morcillo

6.3
H

Defenders

22

D. Chirino

6.3
H

5

Rodrigo Ely

7
M

18

F. Bonini

7.2
L

3

A. Munoz

6.9
L

Goalkeepers

1

A. Fernandez

7
L

Almeria

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.22 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

24

M. de la Fuente

6.2
L

Midfielders

29

S. Dzodic

7.3
L

17

D. Lopy

7.5
L

23

A. Embarba

7.5
L

11

S. Arribas

7.3
L

7

J. Morcillo

6.3
H

Defenders

22

D. Chirino

6.3
H

5

Rodrigo Ely

7
M

18

F. Bonini

7.2
L

3

A. Munoz

6.9
L

Goalkeepers

1

A. Fernandez

7
L

Castellón

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.67 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

O. Camara

6.5
L

Midfielders

8

Barri

6.5
L

25

Ronaldo

6.7
H

18

P. Santiago

6.5
M

21

A. Calatrava

8.2
L

19

A. Jakobsen

6.3
L

Defenders

15

B. Gerenabarrena

6.9
L

3

F. Brignani

7.5
L

5

A. Jimenez

7.5
L

12

L. Alcazar

7
M

Goalkeepers

13

R. Matthys

6.7
L

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

63%
Overall Form
70%
5
Wins
5
2
Draws
4
3
Losses
1

Rankings

Current Season

3
LaLiga 2
6
42
Played
42
1.76
Points per Match
1.71

Quality

64%
Team Quality
64%
54%
Avg Opponent Quality
52%

Goals Performance

50%
Goals Performance
58%
1.8
Scored Goals
1.8
1.8
Conceded Goals
1.3
0
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.5
3.6
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.1

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.48
Expected Goals
Missing Data (6 | 3)
2.09
16.2
Total Shots
17
5.6
Shots on Goal
6
10.3
Shots Inside Box
13.2
5.9
Shots Outside Box
3.8
51%
Possession
55%
82%
Passes %
81%

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.28

Draw

3.49

Away

2.86

2.19

Home

2.28

3.49

Draw

3.51

2.86

Away

2.93

Max

Home

2.28

Draw

3.51

Away

2.93

%

4%
1%
2%

Min

Home

2.19

Draw

3.49

Away

2.86

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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