
WLDWW
VS

DLWWD
Neutral📍 NRG Stadium, Houston


Asian Handicap
Walk the full handicap ladder with cover probabilities and fair vs market odds on every line.
Netherlands
4 Games
Sweden
2 Games
Netherlands
20 Games · At home
Sweden
20 Games · Away
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Avg margin
overall
+1.4
Netherlands
Avg margin
overall
-0.7
Sweden
Avg xG-for minus xG-against per game — the deserve-rate version of margin.
How spread out a team's margins are. ≤1.5 reliable, ≤2.2 moderate, >2.2 swing risk.
Netherlands is a +1.4 margin engine with moderate variance — covers but volatile.
Sweden is a -0.7 margin engine with low variance — covers consistently.
Historical Probability
Compare implied odds against real historical win rates to spot where the market misprices outcomes.