Primera A·
Apertura - Final·06/08/2026·10:00 PM
Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional
LWWWW
1-0
Finished
HT0-0
Junior
Junior
WLDWD
📍 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin
Season statsPrimera A
Nacional24matchesJunior24matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Primera A.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
66%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1707
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1551
67%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

57%
65%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

55%
2.92
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.04

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2424
2.17
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.83
71%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

54%
4%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

21%
25%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%
33%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%
29%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

17%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2424
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.58
71%
Scored > 0.577%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

83%
75%
Over 1.581%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

88%
67%
Over 2.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

54%
25%
Over 3.521%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

17%
42%
BTTS46%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
42%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

21%
50%
Scored Both Halves44%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

38%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2424
0.88
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.13
12.42
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.57
23/24
3.50
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.22
23/24
2.71
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.22
23/24
77%
Save %77%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

76%
23/24
33%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2424
1.40
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.11
0.85
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.18
0.55
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.06
0.51
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.50
0.09
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.09

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2424
15.88
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.74
23/24
6.29
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.65
23/24
9.13
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.00
23/24
57%
Box Shot %56%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

55%
23/24
40%
On-Target %38%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
23/24
13%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%
23/24

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2424
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
23/24
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

81%
23/24
408.13
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

381.17
23/24
0.10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2424
29%7/24
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%12/24
50%12/24
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

25%6/24
21%5/24
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

25%6/24
46%11/24
HT/FT Same Outcome60%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

75%18/24
100%7/7
Led at HT → Won92%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

83%10/12
40%2/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered28%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

17%1/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 24/2424/242424
11%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
4%
16-30'6%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

8%
15%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

32%
22%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

11%
24%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
24%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

26%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 24/2424/242424
52%12/23
Scored First57%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

61%14/23
48%11/23
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

39%9/23
100%12/12
Win when Scoring First93%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

86%12/14
45%5/11
Win when Conceding First28%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

11%1/9
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
25'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

21'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 24/2424/242424
33%8/24
Scored after 75'38%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

42%10/24
13%3/24
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

17%4/24
100%14/14
Lead Saved after 75'95%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

91%10/11
0%0/14
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

9%1/11
0%0/24
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/24

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 24/2424/242424
93%43/46
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

79%30/38
7%3/46
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

18%7/38
0%0/46
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/38
9%2/23
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%3/27
9%2/23
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%1/27

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2424
4.58
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.96
23/24
4.21
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.30
23/24
52%
Corner Share50%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

48%
23/24
-0.10
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.94
58%14/24
Match Corners > 8.560%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

61%14/23
23/24
38%9/24
Match Corners > 9.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

52%12/23
23/24
13%3/24
Match Corners > 10.526%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

39%9/23
23/24

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 24/2424/242424
2.54
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.88
17%4/24
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

13%3/24
11.29
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.21
77%17/22
Match Cards > 3.584%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

91%21/23
22/2423/24
64%14/22
Match Cards > 4.571%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

78%18/23
22/2423/24
54%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeNacional at home · Junior on the road
1111
2.82
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.82
91%10/11
Win Rate73%

Share of sampled matches won.

55%6/11
0%0/11
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

27%3/11
2.91
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.45
0.45
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
55%6/11
Clean Sheet45%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

36%4/11
45%5/11
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

55%6/11
73%8/11
Over 2.559%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%5/11
1.88
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.98
0.68
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.33