
LLLWD
1-2
Finished
HT1-0

LLLLL


Asian Handicap
Walk the full handicap ladder with cover probabilities and fair vs market odds on every line.
Danubio
16 Games
Progreso
17 Games
Danubio
20 Games · At home
Progreso
20 Games · Away
Avg margin
overall
-0.8
Danubio
Avg margin
overall
-0.8
Progreso
Avg xG-for minus xG-against per game — the deserve-rate version of margin.
How spread out a team's margins are. ≤1.5 reliable, ≤2.2 moderate, >2.2 swing risk.
Danubio is a -0.8 margin engine with low variance — covers consistently.
Progreso is a -0.8 margin engine with low variance — covers consistently.
Historical Probability
Compare implied odds against real historical win rates to spot where the market misprices outcomes.