Suomen Cup·
Quarter-finals·06/10/2026·02:00 PM
KuPS
KuPS
DWWWD
0-0
Penalties
HT0-0PEN4-5AET0-0
VPS
VPS
LWWDW
📍 Vare Areena, Kuopio

Stats below use each team's main league —VeikkausliigaFinland

Last 10Suomen Cup
KuPS10matchesVPS10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
73%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

67%
1584
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1388
65%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

64%
81%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

69%
2.15
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.06

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.90
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.00
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

60%
40%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
10%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
40%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.80
80%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
80%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
30%
Over 2.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
10%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

40%
50%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
20%
Scored Both Halves25%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
3.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

7.50
1/102/10
2.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.50
1/102/10
1.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.50
1/102/10
50%
Save %55%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

60%
1/102/10
40%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.09
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.99
1.43
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.92
-0.34
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.07
0.26
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

1.43
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
23.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

7.00
1/102/10
10.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.50
1/102/10
12.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

5.50
1/102/10
52%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

79%
1/102/10
43%
On-Target %47%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

50%
1/102/10
4%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%
1/102/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
68%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

43%
1/102/10
86%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

69%
1/102/10
578.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

266.00
1/102/10
0.04
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
30%3/10
Leading at HT45%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
60%6/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%3/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%1/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome60%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
67%2/3
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

83%5/6
0%0/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

100%1/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
14%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

18%
0%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

25%
29%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
14%
46-60'9%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

4%
29%
61-75'20%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
14%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
67%6/9
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
33%3/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

40%4/10
67%4/6
Win when Scoring First67%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%4/6
33%1/3
Win when Conceding First42%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

50%2/4
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

16'
20'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

44'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'30%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

40%4/10
0%0/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

10%1/10
100%4/4
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%5/5
0%0/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/5
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
93%13/14
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%25/28
7%1/14
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

11%3/28
0%0/14
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/28
13%1/8
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

13%1/8
0%0/8
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/8

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
9.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.50
1/102/10
1.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.00
1/102/10
90%
Corner Share71%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

53%
1/102/10
-1.77
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.48
100%1/1
Match Corners > 8.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

50%1/2
1/102/10
100%1/1
Match Corners > 9.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%1/2
1/102/10
0%0/1
Match Corners > 10.525%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%1/2
1/102/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.50
1/102/10
0%0/1
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/2
1/102/10
13.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.50
1/102/10
57%4/7
Match Cards > 3.571%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

86%6/7
7/107/10
57%4/7
Match Cards > 4.543%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

29%2/7
7/107/10
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeKuPS at home · VPS on the road
65
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.40
50%3/6
Win Rate45%

Share of sampled matches won.

40%2/5
0%0/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%2/5
1.67
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.20
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
33%2/6
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
67%4/6
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%2/5
50%3/6
Over 2.535%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%1/5
0.72
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.65
1.68
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.21