Suomen Cup·
Quarter-finals·06/10/2026·03:00 PM
Ilves
Ilves
LWWLD
5-2
Finished
HT4-2
Lahti
Lahti
WWLDW
Neutral📍 Tammelan Stadion, Tampere

Stats below use each team's main league —VeikkausliigaFinland

Last 10Suomen Cup
Ilves10matchesLahti10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
60%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

65%
1630
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1501
60%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

60%
60%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

69%
3.19
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.85

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.70
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%
40%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.60
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.80
90%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
80%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
60%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
60%
Over 3.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
50%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
0%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
40%
Scored Both Halves35%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.10
15.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

4.00
1/102/10
5.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.50
1/102/10
4.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.50
1/102/10
80%
Save %70%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

60%
1/102/10
40%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.47
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.27
1.37
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.07
0.10
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.20
0.20
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.60
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
14.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.00
1/102/10
6.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.50
1/102/10
8.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.50
1/102/10
57%
Box Shot %63%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
1/102/10
43%
On-Target %37%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
1/102/10
14%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%
1/102/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
42%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

60%
1/102/10
88%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
1/102/10
484.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

412.50
1/102/10
0.04
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.19

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
50%5/10
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
20%2/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%2/10
90%9/10
HT/FT Same Outcome70%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%5/10
80%4/5
Led at HT → Won73%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%2/3
0%0/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
18%
0-15'23%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

28%
24%
16-30'20%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

17%
12%
31-45'11%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

11%
18%
46-60'20%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

22%
24%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
6%
76-90+'8%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

11%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
80%8/10
Scored First70%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
20%2/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

40%4/10
50%4/8
Win when Scoring First58%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%4/6
0%0/2
Win when Conceding First13%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%1/4
20'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

15'
4'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
10%1/10
Scored after 75'10%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

10%1/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

10%1/10
67%4/6
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%4/4
33%2/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/4
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
82%14/17
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%16/18
12%2/17
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

11%2/18
6%1/17
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/18
13%2/15
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

25%3/12
0%0/15
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/12

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.00
1/102/10
3.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.50
1/102/10
57%
Corner Share58%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

59%
1/102/10
0.29
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.56
0%0/1
Match Corners > 8.525%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

50%1/2
1/102/10
0%0/1
Match Corners > 9.525%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%1/2
1/102/10
0%0/1
Match Corners > 10.525%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%1/2
1/102/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.50
1/102/10
0%0/1
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/2
1/102/10
11.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.50
1/102/10
67%6/9
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

88%7/8
9/108/10
33%3/9
Match Cards > 4.548%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

63%5/8
9/108/10
76%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

76%