WDWWD
5-0
Finished
HT1-0
LDWDD
Neutral📍 Roi Baudouin, Brussels
Asian Handicap
Walk the full handicap ladder with cover probabilities and fair vs market odds on every line.
Belgium
3 Games
Tunisia
3 Games
Belgium
20 Games · At home
Tunisia
20 Games · Away
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World Cup8y agoTunisiaAvg margin
overall
+2.7
Belgium
Avg margin
overall
+0.3
Tunisia
Avg xG-for minus xG-against per game — the deserve-rate version of margin.
How spread out a team's margins are. ≤1.5 reliable, ≤2.2 moderate, >2.2 swing risk.
Belgium is a +2.7 margin engine with high variance — swing risk.
Tunisia is a +0.3 margin engine with low variance — covers consistently.
FriendliesBelgiumTunisiaFriendlies
CroatiaBelgiumFriendlies
MexicoBelgiumFriendlies
USABelgiumWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeBelgium
LiechtensteinWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
KazakhstanBelgiumWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
WalesBelgiumFriendliesBelgiumTunisiaFriendlies
AustriaTunisiaFriendlies
CanadaTunisiaFriendlies
HaitiTunisiaAfrica Cup of Nations
MaliTunisiaAfrica Cup of Nations
TanzaniaTunisiaAfrica Cup of Nations
NigeriaTunisiaFriendliesBelgiumTunisiaFriendliesCroatiaBelgiumFriendliesMexicoBelgiumFriendliesUSABelgiumWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeBelgiumLiechtensteinWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeKazakhstanBelgiumWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeWalesBelgiumFriendliesBelgiumTunisiaFriendliesAustriaTunisiaFriendliesCanadaTunisiaFriendliesHaitiTunisiaAfrica Cup of NationsMaliTunisiaAfrica Cup of NationsTanzaniaTunisiaAfrica Cup of NationsNigeriaTunisiaHistorical Probability
Compare implied odds against real historical win rates to spot where the market misprices outcomes.