Odds & Probability
Yes/No model probabilities vs. market oddsBTTS Odds
Both Teams To Score
See Yes / No model probabilities and quadrant breakdown vs market odds across every period.
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BTTS Trends
Both teams to score: rates and head-to-headBoth Teams to Score
Current season
64%Yes
Elva
9/14 Yes·5/14 No
69%Yes
Maardu
9/13 Yes·4/13 No
Last 20 · Home vs Away
50%Yes
Elva
At home
10/20 Yes·10/20 No
60%Yes
Maardu
Away
12/20 Yes·8/20 No
H2H · Both Teams to Score
Last 365 days
1 match0%
Yes0/1
100%
No1/1
Match history
- Mar 12·
Esiliiga A3mo agoMaardu0 - 3
ElvaBTTSNO
All
16 matches63%
Yes10/16
37%
No6/16
Match history
- Mar 12·Esiliiga A3mo agoMaardu0 - 3ElvaBTTSNO
- Oct 14, 2021·Esiliiga A4y agoMaardu2 - 1ElvaBTTSYES
- Aug 25, 2021·Esiliiga A4y agoElva0 - 1MaarduBTTSNO
Goals Performance
BTTS-leaning stats · filtered by params aboveGoals Performance · BTTS
BTTS Yes · all games
NYYNN
7/10
70%
overall
BTTS Yes · all games
NNYYN
7/10
70%
overall
BTTS-leaning stat sheet
MetricElvaMaardu
Scored in (good for BTTS)80%8/1070%7/10
Conceded in (good for BTTS)90%9/1090%9/10
Goals scored / match1.701.20
Goals conceded / match2.001.60
xG · for / against2.08 / 2.533.61 / 2.39
Failed to score20%30%
Clean sheets (bad for BTTS)10%10%
Both halves goals40%30%
Elva · scored in 80% and conceded in 90% in recent matches — both engines elevate BTTS.
Elva · failed to score in 20% in recent matches — softens the BTTS lean.
Maardu · failed to score in 30% in recent matches — softens the BTTS lean.
Match by Match
BTTS outcome per fixture · switch teamMatch by Match
Jun 11·Esiliiga AThis match
Esiliiga AThis matchElvaMaarduYes1.39No2.73
Jun 01·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga AElva0
Tartu Welco2Yes1.35No2.89
LMay 28·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga A
FCI Levadia II1Elva3Yes1.30No3.18
WMay 24·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga AElva3
Tallinna Kalev1Yes1.31No3.11
WMay 16·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga A
Nõmme United II1Elva0Yes1.29No3.12
LMay 07·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga AElva2
FC Tallinn0Yes1.42No2.56
LMay 02·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga AElva2
Nõmme Kalju II4Jun 11·Esiliiga AThis match
Esiliiga AThis matchElvaMaarduYes1.39No2.73
May 28·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga AFC Tallinn0Maardu0Yes1.27No3.39
LMay 24·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga AMaardu0Tartu Welco1Yes1.30No3.18
LMay 16·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga AFCI Levadia II1Maardu2Yes1.25No3.36
WMay 09·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga AMaardu2Nõmme United II1Yes1.24No3.77
WMay 01·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga A
Flora II5Maardu0Yes1.29No3.22
LApr 26·Esiliiga A
Esiliiga A
Viimsi1Maardu1Yes1.52No2.25
WOdds Analysis
Movement, probability and accuracyOdds Movement
Yes1.39
No2.73
Yesavg 1.39
1%
1.361.42
Noavg 2.73
1%
2.622.80
Full range
Avg movement range
Current average
Historical Math Probability
Historical Probability
Compare implied odds against real historical win rates to spot where the market misprices outcomes.
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Winning Odds
Winning Odds Analysis
See how often bookmaker favourites actually win — broken down by odds range with profit tracking.
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Bookmaker Accuracy
Bookmaker Accuracy
Track how often the bookmaker's top-rated selections actually win and measure their statistical reliability.
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