WWLLL
0-1
Finished
HT0-0
DWLWW
Neutral📍 Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg
Asian Handicap
Walk the full handicap ladder with cover probabilities and fair vs market odds on every line.
Luxembourg
20 Games · At home
Italy
20 Games · Away
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Avg margin
overall
-0.8
Luxembourg
Avg margin
overall
+1.1
Italy
Avg xG-for minus xG-against per game — the deserve-rate version of margin.
How spread out a team's margins are. ≤1.5 reliable, ≤2.2 moderate, >2.2 swing risk.
Luxembourg is a -0.8 margin engine with moderate variance — covers but volatile.
Italy is a +1.1 margin engine with high variance — swing risk.
FriendliesLuxembourgItalyUEFA Nations LeagueLuxembourg
MaltaUEFA Nations LeagueMaltaLuxembourgWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
Northern IrelandLuxembourgWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeLuxembourg
GermanyWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
SlovakiaLuxembourgWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeGermanyLuxembourgFriendliesLuxembourgItalyWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
Bosnia & HerzegovinaItalyWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeItalyNorthern IrelandWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeItaly
NorwayWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
MoldovaItalyWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeItaly
IsraelWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
EstoniaItalyFriendliesLuxembourgItalyUEFA Nations LeagueLuxembourgMaltaUEFA Nations LeagueMaltaLuxembourgWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeNorthern IrelandLuxembourgWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeLuxembourgGermanyWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeSlovakiaLuxembourgWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeGermanyLuxembourgFriendliesLuxembourgItalyWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeBosnia & HerzegovinaItalyWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeItalyNorthern IrelandWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeItalyNorwayWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeMoldovaItalyWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeItalyIsraelWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeEstoniaItalyHistorical Probability
Compare implied odds against real historical win rates to spot where the market misprices outcomes.