First League·
Championship Group - 36·05/25/2026·05:30 PM
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
LDWLD
1-0
Finished
HT0-0
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
DLDWW
📍 Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Season statsFirst League
Ludogorets35matchesSofia35matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
48%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1722
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1660
49%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

63%
47%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

48%
1.38
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.68

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3535
1.83
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.80
51%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

51%
29%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

26%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

23%
51%
Clean Sheet46%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%
23%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

26%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3535
1.71
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.34
77%
Scored > 0.576%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

74%
69%
Over 1.567%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

66%
46%
Over 2.539%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

31%
17%
Over 3.519%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
40%
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%
14%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

17%
40%
Scored Both Halves36%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

31%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3535
0.71
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.83
5.56
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

7.13
9/358/35
2.33
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.00
9/358/35
1.56
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.50
9/358/35
67%
Save %71%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

75%
9/358/35
51%
Clean Sheet46%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3535
1.62
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.31
0.80
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.11
0.82
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.20
-0.19
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.06
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.08

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3535
16.56
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

16.25
9/358/35
5.56
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.75
9/358/35
10.22
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.50
9/358/35
62%
Box Shot %57%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

52%
9/358/35
34%
On-Target %31%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

29%
9/358/35
12%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%
9/358/35

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3535
65%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

59%
9/358/35
85%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

81%
9/358/35
594.22
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

431.88
9/358/35
0.32
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.18

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3535
31%11/35
Leading at HT34%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

37%13/35
43%15/35
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%14/35
26%9/35
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

23%8/35
66%23/35
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%21/35
100%11/11
Led at HT → Won92%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

85%11/13
44%4/9
Trailed at HT → Recovered41%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

38%3/8

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 35/3535/353535
3%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

15%
15%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

4%
15%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

22%
24%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

15%
12%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
31%
76-90+'30%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

30%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 35/3535/353535
47%14/30
Scored First54%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

61%20/33
53%16/30
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

39%13/33
100%14/14
Win when Scoring First90%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

80%16/20
25%4/16
Win when Conceding First20%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

15%2/13
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

40'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 35/3535/353535
43%15/35
Scored after 75'39%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

34%12/35
20%7/35
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

26%9/35
100%13/13
Lead Saved after 75'94%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

88%14/16
0%0/13
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

13%2/16
3%1/35
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/35

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 35/3535/353535
86%51/59
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%41/46
12%7/59
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

11%5/46
2%1/59
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/46
0%0/26
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

13%4/30
8%2/26
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

3%1/30

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3535
8.56
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.00
9/358/35
1.44
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

2.88
9/358/35
86%
Corner Share77%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

68%
9/358/35
7.33
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

3.02
67%6/9
Match Corners > 8.565%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

63%5/8
9/358/35
56%5/9
Match Corners > 9.559%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

63%5/8
9/358/35
33%3/9
Match Corners > 10.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%4/8
9/358/35

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 35/3535/353535
1.60
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.50
10/358/35
10%1/10
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/8
10/358/35
9.20
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.25
10/358/35
86%24/28
Match Cards > 3.582%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

78%25/32
28/3532/35
68%19/28
Match Cards > 4.564%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

59%19/32
28/3532/35
63%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

72%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeLudogorets at home · Sofia on the road
1717
1.94
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.47
53%9/17
Win Rate47%

Share of sampled matches won.

41%7/17
12%2/17
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

35%6/17
1.76
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.06
0.71
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.94
47%8/17
Clean Sheet44%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

41%7/17
53%9/17
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

24%4/17
53%9/17
Over 2.538%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

24%4/17
1.97
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.22
0.89
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.19