
WDLDW
0-0
Penalties
HT0-0PEN4-3

WWWWL
📍 Kras Stadion, Volendam


Asian Handicap
Walk the full handicap ladder with cover probabilities and fair vs market odds on every line.
Ajax
35 Games
Utrecht
35 Games
Ajax
20 Games · At home
Utrecht
20 Games · Away
Avg margin
overall
+0.8
Ajax
Avg margin
overall
+0.7
Utrecht
Avg xG-for minus xG-against per game — the deserve-rate version of margin.
How spread out a team's margins are. ≤1.5 reliable, ≤2.2 moderate, >2.2 swing risk.
Ajax is a +0.8 margin engine with moderate variance — covers but volatile.
Utrecht is a +0.7 margin engine with moderate variance — covers but volatile.
Historical Probability
Compare implied odds against real historical win rates to spot where the market misprices outcomes.