Eredivisie·
Final·05/24/2026·10:15 AM
Ajax
Ajax
WDLDW
0-0
Penalties
HT0-0PEN4-3
Utrecht
Utrecht
WWWWL
📍 Kras Stadion, Volendam
Season statsEredivisie
Ajax35matchesUtrecht35matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Eredivisie.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
57%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

77%
1693
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1572
59%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

68%
56%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

86%
2.11
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.46

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3535
1.69
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.60
43%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

46%
40%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

23%
17%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

31%
31%
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

26%
9%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

17%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3535
1.83
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.66
91%
Scored > 0.587%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

83%
94%
Over 1.589%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

83%
57%
Over 2.554%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

51%
40%
Over 3.537%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

34%
66%
BTTS63%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
17%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

23%
43%
Scored Both Halves36%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

29%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3535
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.26
13.03
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.77
4.46
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.71
3.20
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.37
72%
Save %72%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

72%
31%
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

26%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3535
1.55
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.77
1.32
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.30
0.23
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.47
0.15
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.01
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3535
14.63
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

15.40
5.86
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.57
9.91
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

10.46
68%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
40%
On-Target %38%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
13%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3535
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
85%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
523.89
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

398.40
0.10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.09

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3535
49%17/35
Leading at HT46%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

43%15/35
37%13/35
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

29%10/35
14%5/35
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

29%10/35
66%23/35
HT/FT Same Outcome67%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

69%24/35
71%12/17
Led at HT → Won72%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

73%11/15
40%2/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered30%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

20%2/10

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 35/3535/353535
16%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
17%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

7%
24%
31-45'22%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
17%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
6%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

17%
19%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

22%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 35/3535/353535
58%19/33
Scored First58%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

59%20/34
42%14/33
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

41%14/34
63%12/19
Win when Scoring First67%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

70%14/20
21%3/14
Win when Conceding First18%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

14%2/14
22'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

32'
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

26'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 35/3535/353535
34%12/35
Scored after 75'31%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%10/35
20%7/35
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

34%12/35
88%14/16
Lead Saved after 75'84%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%12/15
13%2/16
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%3/15
0%0/35
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/35

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 35/3535/353535
95%60/63
Open-Play Share97%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

98%57/58
2%1/63
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

2%1/58
3%2/63
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/58
12%5/42
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

2%1/44
7%3/42
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/44

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3535
4.80
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.29
5.11
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.51
48%
Corner Share51%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

54%
-1.09
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.81
63%22/35
Match Corners > 8.566%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

69%24/35
51%18/35
Match Corners > 9.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

57%20/35
40%14/35
Match Corners > 10.540%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

40%14/35

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 35/3535/353535
1.71
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.43
6%2/35
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

6%2/35
10.09
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.69
74%20/27
Match Cards > 3.566%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

57%16/28
27/3528/35
44%12/27
Match Cards > 4.538%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

32%9/28
27/3528/35
74%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

68%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeAjax at home · Utrecht on the road
1717
1.82
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.18
53%9/17
Win Rate41%

Share of sampled matches won.

29%5/17
24%4/17
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

41%7/17
1.88
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.41
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.71
35%6/17
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

18%3/17
59%10/17
BTTS65%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

71%12/17
53%9/17
Over 2.556%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

59%10/17
1.67
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.46
1.16
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.75