Odds & Probability
Yes/No model probabilities vs. market oddsBTTS Odds
Both Teams To Score
See Yes / No model probabilities and quadrant breakdown vs market odds across every period.
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BTTS Trends
Both teams to score: rates and head-to-headBoth Teams to Score
Current season
33%Yes
Lithuania
1/3 Yes·2/3 No
33%Yes
Estonia
1/3 Yes·2/3 No
Last 20 · Home vs Away
60%Yes
Lithuania
At home
12/20 Yes·8/20 No
55%Yes
Estonia
Away
11/20 Yes·9/20 No
H2H · Both Teams to Score
Last 365 days
No matchesNo results in this window.
All
3 matches33%
Yes1/3
67%
No2/3
Match history
- Jun 11, 2024·
Baltic Cup2y agoLithuania1 - 1
EstoniaBTTSYES - Nov 19, 2022·Baltic Cup3y agoEstonia2 - 0LithuaniaBTTSNO
- Jun 01, 2021·Baltic Cup5y agoLithuania0 - 1EstoniaBTTSNO
Goals Performance
BTTS-leaning stats · filtered by params aboveGoals Performance · BTTS
BTTS Yes · all games
YNNNN
4/10
40%
overall
BTTS Yes · all games
NNYYY
5/10
50%
overall
BTTS-leaning stat sheet
MetricLithuaniaEstonia
Scored in (good for BTTS)50%5/1060%6/10
Conceded in (good for BTTS)80%8/1080%8/10
Goals scored / match0.700.90
Goals conceded / match2.001.90
xG · for / against0.98 / 1.410.82 / 2.55
Failed to score50%40%
Clean sheets (bad for BTTS)20%20%
Both halves goals10%10%
Lithuania · failed to score in 50% in recent matches — softens the BTTS lean.
Estonia · failed to score in 40% in recent matches — softens the BTTS lean.
Match by Match
BTTS outcome per fixture · switch teamMatch by Match
Jun 09·Baltic CupThis match
LithuaniaEstoniaYes2.01No1.71
Jun 06·Baltic Cup
Lithuania1
Latvia1Yes1.87No1.80
WMar 29·Friendlies
Lithuania0
Georgia2Yes1.91No1.81
LMar 26·Friendlies
Moldova0Lithuania2Yes2.04No1.71
LNov 17, 2025·World Cup - Qualification Europe
Netherlands4Lithuania0Yes2.58No1.46
LNov 13, 2025·Friendlies
Lithuania0
Israel0Yes1.93No1.79
LOct 12, 2025·World Cup - Qualification Europe
Lithuania0
Poland2Yes2.11No1.68
LJun 09·Baltic CupThis match
LithuaniaEstoniaYes2.01No1.71
Jun 06·Baltic Cup
Estonia1
Faroe Islands0Yes1.78No1.90
LMar 30·FIFA Series
Rwanda2Estonia0Yes2.21No1.59
LMar 27·FIFA Series
Kenya1Estonia1Yes2.07No1.68
WNov 18, 2025·Friendlies
Cyprus2Estonia4Yes1.98No1.76
WNov 13, 2025·World Cup - Qualification Europe
Norway4Estonia1Yes2.84No1.39
WOct 14, 2025·World Cup - Qualification Europe
Estonia1Moldova1Yes1.93No1.81
WOdds Analysis
Movement, probability and accuracyOdds Movement
Yes2.01
No1.71
Yesavg 2.01
2%
1.912.10
Noavg 1.71
1%
1.641.85
Full range
Avg movement range
Current average
Historical Math Probability
Historical Probability
Compare implied odds against real historical win rates to spot where the market misprices outcomes.
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Winning Odds
Winning Odds Analysis
See how often bookmaker favourites actually win — broken down by odds range with profit tracking.
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Bookmaker Accuracy
Bookmaker Accuracy
Track how often the bookmaker's top-rated selections actually win and measure their statistical reliability.
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