Virsliga·
Regular Season - 15·05/24/2026·12:00 PM
Riga
Riga
WDWWW
3-0
Finished
HT3-0
Super Nova
Super Nova
WWDLL
📍 Skonto stadions, Riga
Season statsVirsliga
Riga14matchesNova14matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Virsliga.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
77%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

59%
1640
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1380
78%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

48%
76%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

70%
4.23
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.30

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1414
2.36
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.43
71%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

43%
21%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

14%
7%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%
29%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%
0%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

14%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1414
3.21
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.21
100%
Scored > 0.593%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

86%
93%
Over 1.586%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

79%
93%
Over 2.571%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
71%
Over 3.543%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

14%
71%
BTTS68%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

64%
43%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

21%
71%
Scored Both Halves39%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

7%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1414
1.21
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.29
29%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1414
3.47
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.56
1.37
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.54
2.10
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.03
-0.61
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.28

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1414
64%9/14
Leading at HT46%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

29%4/14
14%2/14
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

43%6/14
21%3/14
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

29%4/14
64%9/14
HT/FT Same Outcome54%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

43%6/14
89%8/9
Led at HT → Won82%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
67%2/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered46%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

25%1/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 14/1414/141414
7%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

17%
15%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

22%
20%
31-45'21%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

22%
17%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

11%
15%
61-75'10%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

6%
27%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

22%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 14/1414/141414
64%9/14
Scored First57%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%7/14
36%5/14
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%7/14
89%8/9
Win when Scoring First80%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

71%5/7
40%2/5
Win when Conceding First27%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

14%1/7
22'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
10'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

45'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 14/1414/141414
57%8/14
Scored after 75'43%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%4/14
14%2/14
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

36%5/14
88%7/8
Lead Saved after 75'84%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%4/5
13%1/8
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%1/5
0%0/14
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/14

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 14/1414/141414
95%39/41
Open-Play Share84%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

72%13/18
5%2/41
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

17%3/18
0%0/41
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

11%2/18
19%4/21
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

6%1/17
19%4/21
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

6%1/17

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 14/1414/141414
73%8/11
Match Cards > 3.579%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

85%11/13
11/1413/14
73%8/11
Match Cards > 4.567%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

62%8/13
11/1413/14
60%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

70%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeRiga at home · Nova on the road
68
2.33
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.88
67%4/6
Win Rate65%

Share of sampled matches won.

63%5/8
0%0/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%3/8
3.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.13
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.88
33%2/6
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%3/8
67%4/6
BTTS52%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

38%3/8
83%5/6
Over 2.560%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

38%3/8
3.34
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.34
1.46
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.33