Baltic Cup·
Semi-finals·06/06/2026·03:00 PM
Estonia
Estonia
LDWLD
1-0
Finished
HT0-0
Faroe Islands
Faroe Islands
WWLWW
Neutral📍 Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu
Last 10Baltic Cup
Estonia10matchesIslands10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
43%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

62%
1300
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1437
35%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

54%
50%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

69%
3.26
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.48

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
0.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.80
10%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

60%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

0%
60%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
10%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
40%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
0.90
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.30
60%
Scored > 0.565%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
80%
Over 1.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
50%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
50%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
60%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
10%
Scored Both Halves15%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
2.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.90
22.17
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.57
6/107/10
7.17
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.43
6/107/10
4.33
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.57
6/107/10
60%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

75%
6/107/10
10%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
0.77
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.85
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

-2.08
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.14
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
7.33
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

9.57
6/107/10
2.33
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.14
6/107/10
3.50
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.29
6/107/10
48%
Box Shot %57%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

66%
6/107/10
32%
On-Target %38%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

43%
6/107/10
9%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

15%
6/107/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
42%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

41%
6/107/10
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

73%
6/107/10
374.67
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

331.86
6/107/10
-0.17
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.19

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT20%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

20%2/10
60%6/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
20%2/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

30%3/10
30%3/10
HT/FT Same Outcome35%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

40%4/10
0%0/2
Led at HT → Won50%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%2/2
0%0/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered17%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%1/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
13%
0-15'6%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
13%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

23%
13%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

15%
0%
46-60'4%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

8%
13%
61-75'25%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

38%
50%
76-90+'33%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

15%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
33%3/9
Scored First42%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%5/10
67%6/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%5/10
0%0/3
Win when Scoring First40%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

80%4/5
17%1/6
Win when Conceding First28%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

40%2/5
21'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

38'
37'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

36'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'20%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
0/0
Lead Saved after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%5/5
0/0
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/5
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
100%8/8
Open-Play Share96%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

92%12/13
0%0/8
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

8%1/13
0%0/8
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/13
8%2/24
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/9
4%1/24
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/9

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
2.17
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.86
6/107/10
6.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

7.14
6/107/10
25%
Corner Share33%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

40%
6/107/10
-4.65
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-2.49
33%2/6
Match Corners > 8.560%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

86%6/7
6/107/10
33%2/6
Match Corners > 9.552%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

71%5/7
6/107/10
17%1/6
Match Corners > 10.530%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

43%3/7
6/107/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.83
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.43
6/107/10
0%0/6
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/7
6/107/10
14.67
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.00
6/107/10
63%5/8
Match Cards > 3.550%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

38%3/8
8/108/10
38%3/8
Match Cards > 4.531%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

25%2/8
8/108/10
66%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

62%