Premier League·
Regular Season - 38·05/24/2026·03:00 PM
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
LDLWW
1-1
Finished
HT1-0
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
DWWDW
📍 City Ground, Nottingham
Season statsPremier League
Forest37matchesBournemouth37matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Premier League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
48%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

75%
1770
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1782
61%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

68%
34%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

81%
3.43
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.37

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3737
1.16
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.51
30%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

35%
27%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

46%
43%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

19%
24%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
38%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

19%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3737
1.27
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.54
62%
Scored > 0.572%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

81%
81%
Over 1.578%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

76%
54%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%
27%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

43%
46%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

65%
14%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

19%
19%
Scored Both Halves24%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3737
1.35
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.43
13.19
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.57
4.30
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.24
2.86
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.94
36/37
67%
Save %67%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
24%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3737
1.29
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.77
1.66
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.47
-0.37
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.30
0.46
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.25
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3737
12.46
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.70
4.08
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.68
7.73
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.27
62%
Box Shot %61%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

60%
33%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
10%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3737
47%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
81%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
407.08
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

411.43
-0.12
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3737
19%7/37
Leading at HT27%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

35%13/37
38%14/37
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

41%15/37
43%16/37
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

24%9/37
68%25/37
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

62%23/37
100%7/7
Led at HT → Won85%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

69%9/13
31%5/16
Trailed at HT → Recovered43%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

56%5/9

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 37/3737/373737
20%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
4%
16-30'9%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
16%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

19%
20%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

8%
12%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

20%
27%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

27%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 37/3737/373737
35%12/34
Scored First46%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%18/32
65%22/34
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%14/32
67%8/12
Win when Scoring First58%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%9/18
14%3/22
Win when Conceding First21%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

29%4/14
20'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
39'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

30'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 37/3737/373737
32%12/37
Scored after 75'36%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

41%15/37
35%13/37
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

32%12/37
85%11/13
Lead Saved after 75'74%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

63%10/16
15%2/13
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

38%6/16
0%0/37
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

5%2/37

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 37/3737/373737
88%43/49
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%51/59
6%3/49
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

8%5/59
6%3/49
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%3/59
10%5/48
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

12%6/51
2%1/48
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

2%1/51

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3737
5.19
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.65
4.86
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.27
52%
Corner Share52%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

52%
-0.26
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.08
76%28/37
Match Corners > 8.574%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

73%27/37
59%22/37
Match Corners > 9.562%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

65%24/37
43%16/37
Match Corners > 10.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

57%21/37

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 37/3737/373737
1.59
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.35
3%1/37
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

5%2/37
10.86
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.16
53%16/30
Match Cards > 3.565%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

76%25/33
30/3733/37
30%9/30
Match Cards > 4.541%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

52%17/33
30/3733/37
71%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

70%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeForest at home · Bournemouth on the road
1818
1.06
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.39
22%4/18
Win Rate28%

Share of sampled matches won.

33%6/18
39%7/18
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

28%5/18
1.06
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.56
1.22
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.83
22%4/18
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

28%5/18
44%8/18
BTTS56%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

67%12/18
44%8/18
Over 2.556%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

67%12/18
1.24
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.69
1.15
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.07