Serie B·
Final·05/24/2026·06:00 PM
Catanzaro
Catanzaro
LWWLL
0-2
Finished
HT0-0
Monza
Monza
WDDLW
📍 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Season statsSerie B
Catanzaro41matchesMonza40matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
59%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

65%
1483
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1524
57%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

68%
60%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

62%
3.46
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.14

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4140
1.59
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.00
41%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

57%
34%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

28%
24%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

15%
27%
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%
17%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

13%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4140
1.66
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.63
83%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

88%
83%
Over 1.578%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

73%
56%
Over 2.553%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
39%
Over 3.531%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

23%
63%
BTTS58%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

53%
22%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

23%
34%
Scored Both Halves32%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4140
1.29
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.88
12.73
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.93
3.66
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.42
2.41
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.64
39/40
66%
Save %71%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

75%
27%
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4140
1.43
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.51
1.41
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.02
0.02
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.49
0.47
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.25
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4140
13.05
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.35
4.63
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.80
8.29
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.53
64%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

66%
36%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
13%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4140
54%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

81%
425.22
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

440.65
0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4140
39%16/41
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%12/40
34%14/41
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

55%22/40
27%11/41
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

15%6/40
49%20/41
HT/FT Same Outcome51%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

53%21/40
63%10/16
Led at HT → Won77%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

92%11/12
64%7/11
Trailed at HT → Recovered65%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

67%4/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 41/4140/404140
15%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

9%
13%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
16%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

17%
21%
46-60'20%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
13%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

12%
22%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 41/4140/404140
63%24/38
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

63%24/38
37%14/38
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

37%14/38
54%13/24
Win when Scoring First65%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

75%18/24
29%4/14
Win when Conceding First32%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

36%5/14
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

34'
21'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

30'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 41/4140/404140
29%12/41
Scored after 75'33%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

38%15/40
29%12/41
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

28%11/40
78%14/18
Lead Saved after 75'77%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

77%20/26
22%4/18
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

23%6/26
0%0/41
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

3%1/40

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 41/4140/404140
91%62/68
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

94%62/66
6%4/68
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

5%3/66
3%2/68
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/66
15%8/54
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

9%3/34
4%2/54
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/34

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4140
4.17
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.65
4.56
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.48
48%
Corner Share55%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

62%
0.09
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.24
44%18/41
Match Corners > 8.549%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

55%22/40
41%17/41
Match Corners > 9.541%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

40%16/40
29%12/41
Match Corners > 10.532%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

35%14/40

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 41/4140/404140
2.10
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.05
12%5/41
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

13%5/40
12.27
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.57
78%29/37
Match Cards > 3.573%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

69%24/35
37/4135/40
57%21/37
Match Cards > 4.557%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

57%20/35
37/4135/40
62%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

55%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCatanzaro at home · Monza on the road
2120
1.95
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.55
52%11/21
Win Rate46%

Share of sampled matches won.

40%8/20
10%2/21
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%5/20
1.90
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.45
1.10
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.10
38%8/21
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

35%7/20
57%12/21
BTTS56%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

55%11/20
52%11/21
Over 2.551%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%10/20
1.65
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.28
1.18
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.19